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Omnibus Politics Thread: Campaign 2016 EditionFollow

#2802 Apr 14 2017 at 8:10 AM Rating: Excellent
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Timelordwho wrote:
Looks like word on the street is that it was a message to NK that tunnels can be easily targeted by with non nuclear ordnance.

With the caveats that I'm no authority, my understanding from various reports and reading is that the MOAB isn't especially useful against hardened targets underground. It works great to flatten earthwork tunnels over a large area but is significantly less effective at damaging underground reinforced concrete. Of course we also have specially designed weapons for those purposes though they don't get to brag about being the largest non-nuclear ordnance, etc.
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#2803 Apr 14 2017 at 8:35 AM Rating: Good
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They aren't bunker busters, but that's not the prime usage for NK tunnel networks. They are primarily logistics tunnels used to move artillery around, and somewhat susceptible to partial collapses and disjunction etc.
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#2804 Apr 14 2017 at 8:42 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
With the caveats that I'm no authority, my understanding from various reports and reading is that the MOAB isn't especially useful against hardened targets underground.
They're not really for destroying underground targets. The MOAB blows up slightly above ground and sends out a massive concussive force which, unlike other types of explosives, can easily travel down tunnels and long pathways and take out targets (including the tunnels themselves), which is why it was dropped in this case. Other types of bombs and missiles are more targeted, generally burrowing/digging/sinking into the target before exploding, but after the initial explosion that's it so people can escape them by simply traveling further into tunnels and networks, and after a distance the rest of the network of passages are basically unharmed. It isn't much of a message to North Korea though, since MOABs aren't exactly that great an idea to drop anywhere near populated areas since concussive forces of that magnitude don't exactly care even if you're in a regular house.

Kind of like the difference between a water balloon and a super soaker versus an ant hill. Water balloon is going to take out the hill and the water will continue into the tunnels, while a super soaker can destroy deeper into specific parts of the hill but the rest of the ants will be relatively okay.

Edited, Apr 14th 2017 10:45am by lolgaxe
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#2805 Apr 14 2017 at 8:55 AM Rating: Excellent
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Gotcha. I thought you were referring more to underground nuclear facilities and labs.
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#2806 Apr 14 2017 at 7:54 PM Rating: Decent
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Friar Bijou wrote:
gbaji wrote:
What's scary is that the claim you're making (that if you're on the US end of a conversation with someone we're collecting surveillance on means you are automatically a criminal or spy or enemy of the US) is in exact polar opposition to the basic reason why FISA exists and why its rules are set up the way they are, and for that matter, the entire concept of needing a warrant in the first place.
No. What's scary is that you seem to think that when information pointing toward an American breaking a law is discovered during the surveillance of a foreign national that the government can't act on it.


Actually, I don't believe they can. Not in terms of legal action anyway. They could, having evidence of said crime, go get a warrant and begin legal surveillance of the US person, which can then be used as evidence. Um... but that wasn't actually what I was saying.

What I was saying is that you can't use surveillance of a foreign person to intentionally capture the conversations of a US person in the hopes that you may stumble across something that US person is doing.

Doing so is expressly forbidden under the Federal Intelligence Surveillance Act. It's forbidden specifically because of the massive potential for abuse it would cause. The government can *always* excuse surveillance on a US person under the guise of "we were really just listening to the guy on the other end of the line. Honest!'. It's too easy to do. Which is why it's illegal. And the way we ensure that it's not being abused in this manner is by masking the identities of any US persons on the other end of the line. So that we can't even "accidentally" track that person's conversations by searching through the mass of surveillance data we've collected.

I thought I was quite clear on this. What's funny about this is that I'm quite positive that your position on this would be completely reversed if the political party of the people involved were reversed. You're not accepting surveillance of Trumps transition team because you really think it's just fine for our government to use foreign surveillance to collect data about US persons. In fact, you'd be screaming bloody murder if this were done say by the Bush administration (against just about anyone). You're accepting it because you don't like the people who were spied on.

And what is scary is just how many people think the same way.
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#2807 Apr 14 2017 at 10:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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In this case, we have a FISA court giving a warrant to conduct surveillance on a Trump associate because the judge felt that there was probable reason to think he was communicating with Russian agents. So all the hand-wringing is more than a little misguided.
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#2808 Apr 14 2017 at 10:49 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Friar Bijou wrote:
gbaji wrote:
What's scary is that the claim you're making (that if you're on the US end of a conversation with someone we're collecting surveillance on means you are automatically a criminal or spy or enemy of the US) is in exact polar opposition to the basic reason why FISA exists and why its rules are set up the way they are, and for that matter, the entire concept of needing a warrant in the first place.
No. What's scary is that you seem to think that when information pointing toward an American breaking a law is discovered during the surveillance of a foreign national that the government can't act on it.


Actually, I don't believe they can. Not in terms of legal action anyway. They could, having evidence of said crime, go get a warrant and begin legal surveillance of the US person, which can then be used as evidence.
That's called "acting on it" you lunkhead.Smiley: oyvey
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#2809 Apr 15 2017 at 12:43 PM Rating: Good
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Just gonna leave this here.
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#2810 Apr 15 2017 at 2:49 PM Rating: Excellent
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Something something Rice something something unmasking something something lemme check the blogs!!!!
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#2811 Apr 17 2017 at 8:09 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
In this case, we have a FISA court giving a warrant to conduct surveillance on a Trump associate because the judge felt that there was probable reason to think he was communicating with Russian agents.
Yeah, but what do the courts know about the law?
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#2812 Apr 18 2017 at 10:06 AM Rating: Good
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Apparently the guy that started the movement for a CalExit dropped the bid for the state to secede and moved to Russia. Here's hoping the rest of the state follows suit, and encourages Texas and Florida.
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#2813 Apr 18 2017 at 10:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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lolgaxe wrote:
Apparently the guy that started the movement for a CalExit dropped the bid for the state to secede and moved to Russia.

Snowden?
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#2814 Apr 18 2017 at 10:48 AM Rating: Good
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Some mook going by Louis Marinelli.

Did the forum area just shrink or is it just me?
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#2815 Apr 18 2017 at 11:17 AM Rating: Good
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It's a huge new ad panel on the right. Forcing the forums to shrink in width even when blocked.
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#2816 Apr 18 2017 at 11:24 AM Rating: Excellent
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It's being annexed by Russia.
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#2817 Apr 18 2017 at 12:00 PM Rating: Good
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So long as I'm not the only one mildly inconvenienced. Dasvidanya, slightly more reading area.
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#2818 Apr 18 2017 at 2:55 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Apparently the guy that started the movement for a CalExit dropped the bid for the state to secede and moved to Russia. Here's hoping the rest of the state follows suit, and encourages Texas and Florida.


Russia has become a bastion for leftist revolutionaries again?
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#2819 Apr 18 2017 at 4:45 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
In this case, we have a FISA court giving a warrant to conduct surveillance on a Trump associate because the judge felt that there was probable reason to think he was communicating with Russian agents. So all the hand-wringing is more than a little misguided.


Uh huh. Already covered that though:

gbaji, earlier in this thread wrote:
Again, even if there was a FISA warrant obtained (and guess what? We have no evidence or confirmation of that, which you'd think would be the very first thing that would be trotted out if you were trying to justify what you did), It still has a very very negative political connotation. We can't have a system where the party in power uses what should be non-political agencies for political reasons. And if you think that "detecting and preventing some kind of wrongdoing" was remotely as much a motivator for this spying as "finding something we can use against Trump to help Clinton win", you are probably the most naive person on the planet.


And let me point out (again), that a month or so ago, everyone was mocking Trump for claiming that his campaign was even being surveilled at all.

And let me also point out that whether they obtained a proper warrant for surveillance on one person connected to the Trump campaign back in July does not at all explain or justify the decision by Rice to unmask members of the Trump transition team many months later. At the point at which Trump has won the election and is transitioning into the office, it's hard to make an argument that *any* communication he or his team has with anyone else (yes, that includes Russians) can be surveilled for any reason other than political ones. Certainly, the bar should be much much higher. Merely "having a conversation" with someone can't possibly be considered suspicious or used to justify surveillance. And even political deal making doesn't work either. You'd need to have evidence that someone was engaged in a direct criminal act as part of the conversations. And even that's tough, since said criminal act would have to be something that could not be "legal" as performed by the executive branch of the US. Remember, we're talking about the part of our government that can do things like order airstrikes, wet ops, toppling of governments, manipulation of currency, make deals, etc.

The whole thing reeks of political desperation on the part of the outgoing Obama administration. They were basically grasping at any straw they could here. The only thing that possibly makes sense (well, legally) is if they thought that maybe they could find something sufficiently illegal, that they could do what? Get the election results undone? Have Obama refuse to give up his office because Trump is unfit or something? Try to charge Trump with a crime before he takes office? The crisis that would have caused is pretty staggering, but it looks like that's what they were trying to do. Well, it's the only thing they could have done legally with the information.

And failing that, it looks like they settled for "gather up whatever we can and try to use it politically later". Which puts us squarely into "abuse of power for political purposes" territory. Which puts us right back into "this is a lot like Watergate".
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#2820 Apr 18 2017 at 5:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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So does the Facebook killer or the Fresno killer get the top headline today? Which one you choose apparently determines which side of the political spectrum your website lies on.

I'm not sure what else needs to be said about America at the moment; that pretty much sums up the current situation well. Smiley: rolleyes
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#2821 Apr 18 2017 at 5:21 PM Rating: Excellent
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Right. So your defense for a judge finding sufficient cause to conduct surveillance on someone is "BUT IT WAS PROBABLY POLITICAL!!!!" despite the fact that the entire purpose of the FISA court is to ensure that surveillance only occurs when there's legitimate reason/need.

Welp, can't argue logic like that.

Multiple Congressmen from both sides of the aisle say the Rice accusations are a joke. Bush's former NSA and CIA head says it's a sack of shit. I realize that this is the tiny, thin thread your side is clinging to but there's nothing to engage you about here.
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Which puts us right back into "this is a lot like Watergate"

That's okay. Benghazi was "Watergate plus Iran Contra times ten" so this must be small potatoes Smiley: laugh

Edited, Apr 18th 2017 6:29pm by Jophiel
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#2822 Apr 18 2017 at 5:31 PM Rating: Decent
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Professor stupidmonkey wrote:


That sounds suspiciously like a UK media outlet re-reporting CNN coverage of an earlier UK reporting of a long debunked claim for which no one has ever found any support. The sheer word parsing in these articles is pretty amazing if you actually bother to step back from the innuendo and just read the facts. Literally, the only statements in either the Independent's article or the CNN article it references that are given an actual real source (rather than vague "a source" or "an intelligence source") is the UK intelligence org denying it spied on Trump, a couple claims by Spicer, one by a Fox news commentator, and, amusingly an actual US senator denying something which wasn't actually the allegation which preceded the quoted statement.

So yeah. About the level of reporting we've all become accustomed to, I guess.

I'm seeing smokescreen here, and nothing else.
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#2823 Apr 19 2017 at 7:52 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
I'm seeing smokescreen here, and nothing else.
No one is surprised you're seeing what you feel like seeing.
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#2824 Apr 19 2017 at 9:50 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Certainly, the bar should be much much higher. Merely "having a conversation" with someone can't possibly be considered suspicious or used to justify surveillance.
Smiley: dubious

I'll repeat my amusement that any of this is at all an issue. Of course Trump was spied on, why wouldn't he be? Why wouldn't every single person in his team be looked over? Don't see how one could expect our intelligence services to do any less. I get that people on both sides are hoping to score political points here but the whole thing seems pretty silly.

Edited, Apr 19th 2017 8:51am by someproteinguy
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#2825 Apr 19 2017 at 10:49 AM Rating: Good
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someproteinguy wrote:
I'll repeat my amusement that any of this is at all an issue.
I kind of thought we'd have to wait more than two months before everyone that was so against the man would insist he was beyond reproach. I mean it was going to happen, I just thought it'd be more slow and subtle.

At least wait until there was an actual administrative success to hide the hypocricy behind.
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#2826 Apr 19 2017 at 12:35 PM Rating: Excellent
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Well he did shoot some missiles an airstrip in the middle of the desert when he got emotional. I mean not personally, of course, but he did tell others to do it.

That still sort-of counts right?
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