Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
First off, it's not my sacred cow. Second, it's not a "fraction". The most common number I hear about oil and gas subsidies runs about $4B.
It's the GOP's sacred cow and while your $4B number is hysterically wrong, that would still be Solyndra costing an eighth of the subsidy amount.
For the entire oil/gas industry Joph. One subsidy to
one company is 1/8th the entire subsidy amount for an entire industry that is easily several orders of magnitude larger in terms of total economic production, jobs created, etc. You honestly don't see that as a problem?
When we add up all the green energy subsidies just in this one program it is several times larger than that which the entire oil/gas industry receives. Just in the last couple weeks, the Dems scrambled to hand out another $5B or so because that was the deadline to give those subsidies out. Think they're applying them well, or just handing out as much money as they can to make sure they spend it all?
And you still think those are the same kinds of subsidies, with the same problems, and the same potential for corruption and waste? I don't think so.
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And? Get back to me when we're talking about labor, which over the same time period handed out more money with over a 10:1 ratio Dems to GOP. Do you really want to play this game?
Absolutely. You're the one frantically avoiding it. I'll happily admit that the Democrats support labor in part because labor supports Democrats. Now let's get back to the oil thing you're working so hard to avoid talking about.
Why? You clearly accept the principle that the amount an industry donates to political campaigns isn't the issue here, so why do you care? Why single out oil? It does not receive as much money as labor *and* it's more evenly distributed between the parties. So you really don't have a point to make about the campaign donations at all, do you?
Find examples of the CEO of an oil company donating money to a party's candidates and then having that party create a program that hands money directly to individual oil companies, including his. Where's that form of subsidy Joph? When you find that, I'll join you in condemning it just as I condemn the same thing being done with these green energy companies.
But you wont do that, will you? And that's what makes you a hypocrite. You're not even unwilling to decry these sorts of subsidies when they are similarly likely to be corrupt, you will ignore one type while attacking one that isn't as likely to lead to corruption. That's a strange set of criteria you're using, isn't it? But keep on calling
me the blind partisan. That's always good for a laugh!
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Where'd you get either of those numbers?
Did you not read either of our links? Go get in the Willful Ignorance corner with Rdmcandie.
You channeling Alma now? Whatever. Um... So you're looking at your link which says: "The total government savings from eliminating these subsidies is projected to be $45 billion
over 10 years."
"
over 10 years". Strange that you read that, parroted the number, and then seemed confused when I said that subsidies were about $4B/year. Imagine that! And if we take away the deductions which aren't really subsidies, we get what? Let's go through the list and remove the ones that are actual subsidies
to the oil industry and not just deductions that everyone else gets as well:
1. Claims $7.839 billion over 10 years, but that's not really true. "other companies" get that same amount back, just not in the first year. The only benefit the oil companies get is that they get the tax break for new expenditures right up front instead of spread out over time/depreciation/whatever. I's voodoo math. It's not a real subsidy and it's something Heritage argues should be standard practice.
2. 67 million over 10 years. Hrm.
3. 10 billion over 10 years. But it's unclear if this means that's the savings making the oil companies deduct only the amount that was depreciated (like all other companies), or the whole amount (putting them at a disadvantage). So there's a question mark on this one.
4. 180 million over 10 years. Again a question as to whether this is the total deduction, or just bringing them to the same standards as other companies.
5. $17.3 billion over 10 years. Except that this is the same deduction that all manufacturing companies get (see Heritage link) *and* oil companies are actually at a disadvantage already (Heritage link is newer than your link btw, so that may reflect a changed in policy). Everyone else gets 9%. Oil companies are singled out and only get 6% today. Assuming conservatively that your link doesn't take this into account, then what this really means is that the oil companies are *losing* 1/3rd of the money they should be able to deduct if they were in any other industry. So they're really losing about $6 billion over 10 years right now. So we put that in the negative column.
6. $1.1 billion over 10 years. But this is another one of those "don't let them deduct expenses" things. Why? Every other business can deduct expenses. It seems strange to me that oil companies *weren't* allowed to deduct the cost of oil exploration. I put a huge question mark on this one.
7. 8.5 billion in taxes over a 10-year period. Again, a deduction which applies to all companies, not just oil companies. Singling them out is singling them out to pay more. Can't count this as a subsidy.
8 and 9 only apply when oil prices are low. While they are basically "safety net" subsidies for oil companies, and presumably work to keep domestic oil wells pumping even when the price of oil is low enough that it makes more sense to import and also presumably is an attempt to maintain our oil infrastructure against times when oil prices are high. It's arguable in terms of whether they should exist, but also irrelevant because oil prices are high right now (and have been for some time).
So... What does that add up to? Including the two question mark subsidies, we have 67M, 10B, 180M, -6B, and 1.1B. That's a grand total of... wait for it...
$5.347 Billion over 10 years. So... that's $534 Million a year. Holy Hell! That's almost exactly what Solyndra got all by itself.
None of those directly target single companies for money Joph, and they apply to an entire industry that is many times larger, and the two biggest "subsidies" on that list were also ones with question marks on them. You ask why I'm not up in arms about oil subsidies? That's why.
Edited, Oct 13th 2011 6:41pm by gbaji