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#302 Nov 05 2012 at 12:32 PM Rating: Good
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Spoonless wrote:
Smasharoo wrote:
We don't have TV, so I miss most of the Warren/Brown ads, but I do hear the compelling Brown argument of "She pretended she was an indian!" on the radio about every 14 seconds.
Even on Rhode Island radio stations, I probably hear this ad more than any for RI politicians.

Yeah, I've heard it plenty north of MA as well.

The WoW politician continues to be a media highlight here. All the negative publicity from the right got her selected to be one of the DLCC essential races to watch for. Talk about a strategy back-firing....
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#303 Nov 05 2012 at 1:06 PM Rating: Excellent
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crazylegz1975 wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
crazylegz1975 wrote:
Sorry but no way you can spin that playing to a 3k crowd is better than playing to a 30k one

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 48% (Columbus Dispatch)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (Zogby)
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (YouGov)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Reuters/Ipsos)

I guess playing to a 3k crowd must be better than playing to a 30k one Smiley: laugh
Where's rasmussens numbers?

Here you are, champ:

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (Rasmussen)

Edit: Whoops, bad info. 49-49 from Rasmussen. Only group since November to still have them tied.

Edited, Nov 5th 2012 3:16pm by Jophiel
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#304 Nov 05 2012 at 1:22 PM Rating: Good
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Looks like 28k of those people were just there for free hotdogs.
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#305 Nov 05 2012 at 2:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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ElneClare wrote:
I find it hard to believe that mini Fleajoph is already 2 years old. I demand pictures.

Here's a pic for ya. You'll have to excuse the colors; my wife can't post a photo on Facebook without giving it the Instagram "fuck you" to forty years of photography technology Smiley: laugh
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#306 Nov 05 2012 at 4:58 PM Rating: Decent
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What is that he's playing with? No touchscreen, not even a keyboard and mouse...and look at the phone! That's positively ancient! How can you raise your child in such a barbaric manner?
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#307 Nov 05 2012 at 5:13 PM Rating: Excellent
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Hah... that phone is there for him to play with. It's my old flip phone. Keeps him off our expensive phones.
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#308 Nov 05 2012 at 5:28 PM Rating: Default
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Reminds me of how my brothers and I use to see children smashing buttons on controllers in Wal-mart. We would always laugh and say that we would never buy our kids games if they don't actually know how to play. I was the "late bloomer" at age 6 playing games, so we never understood how 10 year olds weren't capable of playing games.
#309 Nov 05 2012 at 6:54 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
Hah... that phone is there for him to play with. It's my old flip phone. Keeps him off our expensive phones.

Good plan. We did that too. That'll last you another year, at most. Hope you've got Droids so you can download Angry Birds for free. There are at least three versions now.
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we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#310 Nov 05 2012 at 6:59 PM Rating: Excellent
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I've got an array of toddler games on my tablet. He enjoys the Hide & Seek and one that calls out types of vehicles and plays music.
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#311 Nov 05 2012 at 8:13 PM Rating: Excellent
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Almalieque wrote:
Not like anyone cares, but I'll clarify my point on polling. There isn't anything inherently wrong with polling or sampling. My beef is more with how they are conducted and how they are used to justify points. I differentiate sampling a small population to determine the average height of adult males vs who will win the general election. While both might represent what they seek, there are no variables to change the former in a short amount of time.
I thought you didn't believe in statistics?

Don't you dare try to make my signature a liar. Smiley: mad
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#312 Nov 05 2012 at 9:24 PM Rating: Excellent
Almalieque wrote:
Not like anyone cares, but I'll clarify my point on polling. There isn't anything inherently wrong with polling or sampling. My beef is more with how they are conducted and how they are used to justify points. I differentiate sampling a small population to determine the average height of adult males vs who will win the general election. While both might represent what they seek, there are no variables to change the former in a short amount of time.

That makes more sense. I would simply say that the possible change in voting trends can be observed and isn't as extreme as you give it credit for. That's also the difference between a poll, and a site like 538 which uses the polls and historical data to drive a simulation that actually makes predictions. This is why Romney still has that 20% chance to win, because that's the calculated error.
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#313 Nov 06 2012 at 1:10 AM Rating: Excellent
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Man, even the "Unskewed polls" guy barely gives Romney a victory with 275 EVs.
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#314 Nov 06 2012 at 5:34 AM Rating: Excellent
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So this is kinda neat: NY Times has made a map with directions to the White house. Out of 512 possible outcomes, Obama wins 431, 5 are tied and Romney wins 76.
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#315 Nov 06 2012 at 6:13 AM Rating: Default
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Demea wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
Not like anyone cares, but I'll clarify my point on polling. There isn't anything inherently wrong with polling or sampling. My beef is more with how they are conducted and how they are used to justify points. I differentiate sampling a small population to determine the average height of adult males vs who will win the general election. While both might represent what they seek, there are no variables to change the former in a short amount of time.
I thought you didn't believe in statistics?

Don't you dare try to make my signature a liar. Smiley: mad


You would be a fool not to have a bias against statistics. Having a bias and not believing in statistics are not one AND the same. Ok, I just wanted to say that, but it's true. I recently have not seen anyone talk about polls and not dismiss other polls. Every time a poll is presented that contradicts their poll, they "dig deeper" into the poll and come up with numerous flaws on why the other poll is inaccurate and theirs is right.

If you sit back and take every poll (especially political ones) at face value, then you're simply a fool. There's no other way to put it. So, yes, I'm biased against statistics. I'm not sure how you think that's funny. It' called reality. If you've ever done any scholastic research, you would definitely understand it more.
#316 Nov 06 2012 at 6:34 AM Rating: Decent
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Man, even the "Unskewed polls" guy barely gives Romney a victory with 275 EVs.


Don't worry, **** Morris is allays there to fight the battle against reality.

http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/****-morris/266027-prediction-romney-325-obama-213-
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#318 Nov 06 2012 at 7:17 AM Rating: Good
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crazylegz1975 wrote:
Obama plays to half empty arena. Oh how the chosen one has fallen.
It's kind of cute how hard you try.
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#319 Nov 06 2012 at 7:43 AM Rating: Excellent
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Hannah and I just returned from voting. For some reason they didn't show me as registered so she got an exciting peek into the sausage making process of 15 very polite old white people trying to figure out what to do for an hour before finally giving me a ballot.
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? ***. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#320 Nov 06 2012 at 8:11 AM Rating: Excellent
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Well, thank God Massachusetts will go blue now.
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#321 Nov 06 2012 at 8:18 AM Rating: Good
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Spoonless wrote:
crazylegz1975 wrote:
Obama plays to half empty arena. Oh how the chosen one has fallen.
It's kind of cute how hard you try.

not cute.
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#322 Nov 06 2012 at 8:31 AM Rating: Decent
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Well, thank God Massachusetts will go blue now.

Hey, Warren isn't a sure thing!
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? ***. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#323 Nov 06 2012 at 8:53 AM Rating: Good
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The only notable thing about my voting experience this morning was that the Election Judge was a 15-year-old kid. Well, I suppose he was probably 18, but not much more. As Election Judge, he apparently had two duties: 1) verifying the registration checker's initials on my ballot before I fed it into the machine, and 2) handing out stickers.
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#324 Nov 06 2012 at 8:54 AM Rating: Good
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While I was visiting Mass a few weeks ago, there were some young Warren squaws and braves out busily stumping for her. Seeing them I was reminded of Dennis Miller joking about asking if he could donate to her campaign, but the glass beads he offered were angrily refused.

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#325 Nov 06 2012 at 9:00 AM Rating: Excellent
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trickybeck wrote:
As Election Judge, he apparently had two duties: 1) verifying the registration checker's initials on my ballot before I fed it into the machine, and 2) handing out stickers.

They rotate duties throughout the day but, so some extent, his job was probably "Provide the required 2:3 ratio of D:R or R:D judges"

Also, my polling place had no stickers which upset Flea mightily.
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#326 Nov 06 2012 at 9:05 AM Rating: Excellent
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crazylegz1975 wrote:
Obama plays to half empty arena.
Even Clint Eastwood's audience supports Obama, huh.
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