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Sceptics conclude Earth has warmedFollow

#27 Oct 21 2011 at 5:03 PM Rating: Default
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this isn't going to be a HAARP thread is it?
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#28 Oct 21 2011 at 5:13 PM Rating: Good
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rdmcandie wrote:
this isn't going to be a HAARP thread is it?

Oooh it is now!
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#29 Oct 21 2011 at 5:19 PM Rating: Good
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rdmcandie wrote:
That is very true, but we have no concrete evidence of how much we have actually contributed.

We totally do. There is an international scientific consensus that we're significantly responsible for the current climate change.

The primary problem is that scientists are very good at doing science but not very good at marketing. However, the 8 out of the 10 largest companies in the world whose revenues streams are directly tied to oil do happen to be very good at marketing.
#30 Oct 21 2011 at 5:25 PM Rating: Default
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Allegory wrote:
rdmcandie wrote:
That is very true, but we have no concrete evidence of how much we have actually contributed.

We totally do. There is an international scientific consensus that we're significantly responsible for the current climate change.


Science is not done by a show of hands at a convention. This is honestly one of the most irritating statements people make in this debate. That somehow because a few hundred scientists one time at one convention (held specifically by political forces for the purpose of raising awareness of the very assumption in question btw), signed a piece of paper, that this means that the science is "done" and we should never question it or examine it, or look at it again.

That's not science.

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The primary problem is that scientists are very good at doing science but not very good at marketing. However, the 8 out of the 10 largest companies in the world whose revenues streams are directly tied to oil do happen to be very good at marketing.


Political movements are very good at marketing too.

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 4:26pm by gbaji
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#31 Oct 21 2011 at 5:39 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Science is not done by a show of hands at a convention.
I remember you didn't have any objection to science being done through iPetitions.com.
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#32 Oct 21 2011 at 5:46 PM Rating: Default
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Science is not done by a show of hands at a convention.
I remember you didn't have any objection to science being done through iPetitions.com.



I think you're confusing "science" with "showing that you can get a scientific consensus for any side of an argument if you want to". You honestly didn't get that the point of that was to show that such forms of "consensus" *aren't* real science and shouldn't be taken as such? Um... Wow. Boy did you fail that one.
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#33 Oct 21 2011 at 5:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Boy did you fail that one.
Just pointing out that you were strangely quiet over that particular survey. Get flustered if you want or not.
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#34 Oct 21 2011 at 6:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Science is not done by a show of hands at a convention. This is honestly one of the most irritating statements people make in this debate. That somehow because a few hundred scientists one time at one convention (held specifically by political forces for the purpose of raising awareness of the very assumption in question btw), signed a piece of paper, that this means that the science is "done" and we should never question it or examine it, or look at it again.

That's not science

It is, however,one hell of a strawman.
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#35 Oct 21 2011 at 6:41 PM Rating: Default
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We totally do. There is an international scientific consensus that we're significantly responsible for the current climate change.


Please provide me a 200 year sample of weather statistics from some 65 million years ago. Also please provide one every 20 millions years (45, 25, 5) I would also like a source with accurate climate readings from the years 12000 BC 10000BC 8000BC, 100AD, 1100AD, 1491 AD.

If you can show to me that humans have altered the global cycle to a drastic degree ill buy into global warming loony talk. We may have had an impact, but like so has every other dominate species (maybe not to the extent we have). If you have to ask questions about what about before we kept records, then you can't really proove anything.

Nearly every global warming spiel cites after a few hundred years of records we have found the temperature has increased, we think we did something to it, so ya Global Warming. The earth has been around for billions of years, we have no idea how it functions, and it is naive to think we do.

(unless you are a religious nutbar and believe it all poofed into existance 10,000 years ago.)
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#36 Oct 21 2011 at 7:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Science is not done by a show of hands at a convention. This is honestly one of the most irritating statements people make in this debate. That somehow because a few hundred scientists one time at one convention (held specifically by political forces for the purpose of raising awareness of the very assumption in question btw), signed a piece of paper, that this means that the science is "done" and we should never question it or examine it, or look at it again.

That's not science

It is, however,one hell of a strawman.


Only if I were arguing that they are wrong because they got a few hundred scientists to form said consensus. I don't argue that (and have never argued that). I argue only that said consensus does not make them right. It's a subtle, but very significant difference.
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#37 Oct 21 2011 at 7:06 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Boy did you fail that one.
Just pointing out that you were strangely quiet over that particular survey. Get flustered if you want or not.


Honestly, I'm not 100% sure what you're talking about. If you're talking about the anti-ACC folks creating an online petition and getting 30,000 "scientists" (we can quibble over what qualifies one if you want) to generate their own consensus, in order to counter the consensus of the 300 or so "scientists" at the IPCC convention which is often used to attempt to shut down debate on the issue, then I seem to recall we've had several threads in which the topic came up. So I'm not sure what you mean by "strangely silent".

I've talked about it at length in the past. And I've never argued that this "proved" that ACC was false. It only proved that not everyone agreed with the ACC consensus (which shouldn't have been in doubt anyway), but more importantly that just creating a consensus doesn't actually make you right. It disproves the argument that a consensus is proof of anything other than that you gathered some people together and called their agreement a "consensus" (ie: Pretty much meaningless).


If you're talking about something else, then you'll have to elaborate cause I'm drawing a blank.

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 6:07pm by gbaji
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#38 Oct 21 2011 at 7:10 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
So I'm not sure what you mean by "strangely silent".
Do those words have different meanings in your bubble? Or does that particular combination of words somehow confuse you? Would abnormally quiet suit you better? Astonishingly restrained? Exceptionally nonvocal? Unnaturally wordless?
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#39 Oct 21 2011 at 7:15 PM Rating: Default
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Gbaji wrote:
Honestly, I'm not 100% sure what you're talking about. If you're talking about the anti-ACC folks creating an online petition and getting 30,000 "scientists" (we can quibble over what qualifies one if you want)....bunch of crap expanding on redundant argument.




why do you argue over redundant points all the time. The simple fact is they are basing their opinions on a fraction of a % of the worlds history. That in itself makes this whole idea of Global Warming kind of washy, while yes in the small controlled subtext it appears we have increased the temperature of the planet, in reality we have no idea if this is a naturally recurring cycle or if we in fact did cause it.

The validity of scientist is meaningless, they could all be scientist the cold hard facts are we only have a limited data supply to apply to a system that has been functioning for billions of years. (and this holds true even if we kept records since the dawn of man)

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 9:17pm by rdmcandie

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 9:18pm by rdmcandie
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#40 Oct 21 2011 at 7:28 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Only if I were arguing that they are wrong because they got a few hundred scientists to form said consensus. I don't argue that (and have never argued that). I argue only that said consensus does not make them right. It's a subtle, but very significant difference.

Yeah, I see you don't know what a strawman is. Which is kind of ironic but, hey, there ya go.
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#41 Oct 21 2011 at 7:46 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
So I'm not sure what you mean by "strangely silent".
Do those words have different meanings in your bubble? Or does that particular combination of words somehow confuse you? Would abnormally quiet suit you better? Astonishingly restrained? Exceptionally nonvocal? Unnaturally wordless?


I know what the words mean, I'm just not sure if you mean the same thing when you use them. As far as I know, said petition was not mentioned earlier in this thread, nor has it come up in a thread topic for a year or more (again, that I'm aware of). So how the hell can I be "strangely silent" about it? I can get the "silent" part because I certainly haven't talked about it in a long time. But I don't get the "strangely" part, since there's nothing strange about me not talking about something that hasn't come up in conversation at all for like a year or two (well, the last time we had a big ACC debate anyway).


Why do you think it's strange that I didn't bring up something no one else brought up either?
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#42 Oct 21 2011 at 7:48 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Only if I were arguing that they are wrong because they got a few hundred scientists to form said consensus. I don't argue that (and have never argued that). I argue only that said consensus does not make them right. It's a subtle, but very significant difference.

Yeah, I see you don't know what a strawman is. Which is kind of ironic but, hey, there ya go.


Geez Joph. That's weak sauce even for you. Must be Friday. Smiley: rolleyes
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#43 Oct 21 2011 at 7:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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I may be wrong but I believe that certain methodologies, like analyzing ice core samples and fossilized tree rings, can give fairly accurate pictures of the climate (including things like atmospheric composition) for thousands of years.
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#44 Oct 21 2011 at 7:58 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Geez Joph. That's weak sauce even for you. Must be Friday. Smiley: rolleyes

Yeah, that was one way of trying to avoid admitting your love of the strawman argument and inability to even understand it Smiley: laugh
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#45 Oct 21 2011 at 8:17 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
So I'm not sure what you mean by "strangely silent".
Do those words have different meanings in your bubble? Or does that particular combination of words somehow confuse you? Would abnormally quiet suit you better? Astonishingly restrained? Exceptionally nonvocal? Unnaturally wordless?
I know what the words mean, I'm just not sure if you mean the same thing when you use them.
Strangely silent. It doesn't change meanings when spoken by different people. Bizarrely quiet? Startlingly curbed? Peculiarly taciturn?

But, watching you twist in the wind is fun for only so long, so I'll spell it out for you. Roughly three months ago, a similar topic was brought up that was essentially "HAY, ALL THESE SCIENTISTS (debatable qualifications, as they may have been) SIGNED A PETITION SAYING GLOBAL WARMING IS FAAAAAKE SO IT MUST BE TRUE!" which you made no effort to make the same claim you make in this thread. The "science is not done by a show of hands at a convention" claim should, after all, be accurate for both. What they're actually saying is irrelevant, since that isn't the point. Just the method to come to the conclusion.

I simply found that strange. Irregular. Unusual. Weird. *****. Bizarre. Anomalous. Atypical.

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 10:19pm by lolgaxe
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#46 Oct 21 2011 at 9:27 PM Rating: Good
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rdmcandie wrote:
Please provide me

Why would anyone waste their time doing that? Are you really so delusional as to think you have the qualifications to define the standards of evidence required to prove or disprove ACC?
#47 Oct 21 2011 at 9:32 PM Rating: Default
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Do you or do you not have a source of information from prior to even 10,000 years ago. Yes or No. If you think our insignificant existence over the duration of time this planet has existed has had any serious effect you are delusional, this planet has endured intense heat and cold. As much as people do not want to hear it, when this planet is done with us it will get rid of us, and there is nothing we can do about it.
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#48 Oct 21 2011 at 10:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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@lolgaxe. I'm pretty sure that Gbaji actually posted about that petition way before the thread you're referring to. IIRC, good times were had as people basically completely ripped it apart. He backtracked pretty damn quick.

Edited, Oct 21st 2011 11:32pm by Xsarus
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#49 Oct 21 2011 at 10:44 PM Rating: Excellent
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rdmcandie wrote:
Do you or do you not have a source of information from prior to even 10,000 years ago.

Like I said, it'd be a waste of time to make the effort. I do think it's funny that you're so ill-informed you've never heard of sediment or ice cores.
#50 Oct 21 2011 at 10:47 PM Rating: Excellent
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rdmcandie wrote:
If you think our insignificant existence over the duration of time this planet has existed has had any serious effect you are delusional, this planet has endured intense heat and cold.

Yeah, the idea isn't "Oh, no! What if the planet disintegrates!?", it's "Shit, we're influencing the climate enough to seriously disrupt and endanger both the current ecosystems and our own way of life."
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#51 Oct 21 2011 at 10:50 PM Rating: Excellent
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Sir Xsarus wrote:
@lolgaxe. I'm pretty sure that Gbaji actually posted about that petition way before the thread you're referring to.

Epik lulz
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