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#1 Oct 18 2011 at 10:13 PM Rating: Excellent
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Buy the hard drive now. As in immidiatly. 30% of the entire world hard drive manufacturing capacity just flooded and will be offline for 5 - 8 months, which will likely cause a price spike. This mainly affects larger rotational hard drives, Solid state drive plants were less affected, though the card controller fabrication units in many plants were also flooded out.

http://www.infoworld.com/t/hard-drives/the-impending-hard-drive-shortage-and-possible-price-hikes-176453

The impending hard drive shortage -- and possible price hikes
Flooding near Bangkok has taken about 25 percent of the world's hard disk manufacturing capacity offline
By Woody Leonhard | InfoWorldFollow @infoworld Print | 1 Comment
If you're going to need hard drives this year or early next year, it would be smart to get your sources locked in now.

Disk manufacturing sites in Thailand -- notably including the largest Western Digital plant -- were shut down due to floods around Bangkok last week and are expected to remain shut for at least several more days. The end to flooding is not in sight, and Western Digital now says it could take five to eight months to bring its plants back online. Thailand is a major manufacturer of hard drives, and the shutdowns have reduced the industry's output by 25 percent.

Western Digital, the largest hard disk manufacturer, makes more than 30 percent of all hard drives in the world. Its plants in Ayutthaya's Bang Pa-In Industrial Estate and Pathum Thani's Navanakorn Industrial Estate together produce about 60 percent the company's disks. Both were shut down last Wednesday. (Western Digital also has a major plant in Malaysia that hasn't been affected by the floods, so some production will likely shift to that plant.)

Fourth-ranked hard-disk manufacturer Toshiba makes more than 10 percent of the world's hard disks, and half of its capacity is in Thailand. Toshiba's plant has also been closed due to flooding.

Key disk component suppliers have also been hit. Nidec, which makes more than 70 percent of all hard drive motors, has temporarily suspended operations at all three of its plants in Thailand, affecting 30 percent of its production capacity. Hutchinson Technologies, which makes drive suspension assemblies, has also suspended operations due to power outages, although it says it will shift operations to its U.S. plant.

Seagate, the second-largest hard disk manufacturer, has two plants in Thailand, but neither is in the flooded parts of the country. Seagate notes that "the hard disk drive component supply chain is being disrupted and it is expected that certain component in the supply chain will be constrained." Translation: Component prices are going up, at least for some parts.

It's not clear whether that will affect the prices you pay. As a testament to adequate supply and lower-than-expected demand, retail prices of hard disks have not taken off: You can still get 1TB and larger SATA drives from popular websites for about the same price now as they were in September. Even if manufactuers hold the line on the product price, it's highly that unlikely disk prices will go down any time soon.


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#2 Oct 18 2011 at 10:23 PM Rating: Good
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Glad I built my new rig at the beginning of the summer.
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#3 Oct 18 2011 at 10:36 PM Rating: Decent
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I'm good for now, but thanks for the warning.
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we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#4 Oct 18 2011 at 10:51 PM Rating: Good
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This will likely impact the company I work for. We sell systems populated with up to 48 hard drives.
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#5 Oct 19 2011 at 10:49 AM Rating: Good
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I just need to buy a new laptop. I'll have to let the hubby know because he wanted to upgrade our desktop. Thanks Kao for looking out for us!
#6 Oct 19 2011 at 12:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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virtual rate up for the info
#7 Oct 19 2011 at 1:40 PM Rating: Default
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what is a rotational hard drive?
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#8 Oct 19 2011 at 1:47 PM Rating: Good
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A hardrive that includes rotating disks inside. AKA, not a Solid State drive.
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#9 Oct 19 2011 at 2:15 PM Rating: Excellent
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rdmcandie wrote:
what is a rotational hard drive?


It's a new kind of hard drive in which the platters are fixed and the computer spins around them.
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#10 Oct 19 2011 at 2:31 PM Rating: Good
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PunkFloyd, King of Bards wrote:
rdmcandie wrote:
what is a rotational hard drive?


It's a new kind of hard drive in which the platters are fixed and the computer spins around them.


Psh, that's stupid. Manufacturers should know that science geeks build computers. We know that those two are the same things, just from a different perspective. :P
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#11 Oct 19 2011 at 7:25 PM Rating: Good
#12 Oct 20 2011 at 10:00 AM Rating: Decent
Good thing I have a apair sitting in my desk. I wonder how it will affect the High speed HD's in pricing since I cant get another till November.
#13 Oct 20 2011 at 10:10 PM Rating: Excellent
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Tailmon wrote:
Good thing I have a apair sitting in my desk. I wonder how it will affect the High speed HD's in pricing since I cant get another till November.


The 10,000 RPM raptor drive line is apperently under about 10 feet of muddy water. some of them are made in the US, most of them aren't. I'd expect the price to go higher, and availablility to go much lower.
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#14 Oct 21 2011 at 3:24 PM Rating: Good
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While this drive shortage exists, I plan on storing and retrieving all of my data by having a whole bunch of kids playing a really big game of "duck duck goose" on a large rotating playground. I'm still working out the details, but it should work.
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#15 Oct 21 2011 at 4:26 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
While this drive shortage exists, I plan on storing and retrieving all of my data by having a whole bunch of kids playing a really big game of "duck duck goose" on a large rotating playground. I'm still working out the details, but it should work.


Bit of an awkward way to watch your **** collection isn't it?
#16 Oct 21 2011 at 5:11 PM Rating: Decent
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Turin wrote:
gbaji wrote:
While this drive shortage exists, I plan on storing and retrieving all of my data by having a whole bunch of kids playing a really big game of "duck duck goose" on a large rotating playground. I'm still working out the details, but it should work.


Bit of an awkward way to watch your **** collection isn't it?

With a bit of work that could *be* your ****.
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publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#17 Oct 21 2011 at 8:45 PM Rating: Excellent
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Debalic wrote:
Turin wrote:
gbaji wrote:
While this drive shortage exists, I plan on storing and retrieving all of my data by having a whole bunch of kids playing a really big game of "duck duck goose" on a large rotating playground. I'm still working out the details, but it should work.


Bit of an awkward way to watch your **** collection isn't it?

With a bit of work that could *be* your ****.

doinitrite.
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