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#427 May 25 2011 at 4:33 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
He would and has.
Edited, May 25th 2011 6:22pm by Nilatai


I wouldn't and I haven't.
#428 May 25 2011 at 4:40 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
As far as DADT goes, it was an archaic piece of legislation. It had it's day in the Sun and now it's dead. Good riddance if you ask me. All that should enter your mind is if the man standing next to you is a good soldier, and if he has your back. If he has yours, you should have his.



Has it occurred to you that the reason you accept the very statistics Alma disagrees with is because those statistics support a position you already hold? And isn't that exactly what you said Alma would do if the situation were reversed? The point I'm making is that for you the situation is reversed and you are exhibiting exactly the same behavior you predicted (and attacked) Alma for.


Pot... Kettle. That's all I'm saying.

Edited, May 25th 2011 3:32pm by gbaji
Oh, no that's not what I said at all. I said that he wouldn't have any problem presenting statistics that he were inaccurate if they supported his position. I don't really care if 100% of troops were in favour of DADT.


Alma doesn't just disagree with the statistics, he assumes they must be flawed because he doesn't agree with them.
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#429 May 25 2011 at 4:51 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
As far as DADT goes, it was an archaic piece of legislation. It had it's day in the Sun and now it's dead. Good riddance if you ask me. All that should enter your mind is if the man standing next to you is a good soldier, and if he has your back. If he has yours, you should have his.



Has it occurred to you that the reason you accept the very statistics Alma disagrees with is because those statistics support a position you already hold? And isn't that exactly what you said Alma would do if the situation were reversed? The point I'm making is that for you the situation is reversed and you are exhibiting exactly the same behavior you predicted (and attacked) Alma for.


Pot... Kettle. That's all I'm saying.

Edited, May 25th 2011 3:32pm by gbaji
Oh, no that's not what I said at all. I said that he wouldn't have any problem presenting statistics that he were inaccurate if they supported his position. I don't really care if 100% of troops were in favour of DADT.


Alma doesn't just disagree with the statistics, he assumes they must be flawed because he doesn't agree with them.


I disagree with the statistics based on reality. Actions speak louder than words. Besides, my point wasn't focused on that the stats are "wrong", but the fact that 1000 random people do not necessarily represent the U.S. opinion on something. If a larger number was conducted with the same result, I would be more willing to accept it.

Given so, your claim of me only denying the stat because of the result is completely false.
#430 May 25 2011 at 4:53 PM Rating: Good
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Has anyone mentioned DADT is gone?
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#431 May 25 2011 at 4:54 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Has anyone mentioned DADT is gone?
It is? Awesome, it was dumb any way!
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#432 May 25 2011 at 5:00 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
Oh, no that's not what I said at all. I said that he wouldn't have any problem presenting statistics that he were inaccurate if they supported his position.


No. You said that he wouldn't be so vocal in his opposition to the statistics if they said something he agreed with. I can quote you again if you want.

Quote:
Alma doesn't just disagree with the statistics, he assumes they must be flawed because he doesn't agree with them.


Yes. And you speculated that if he agreed with them, he wouldn't argue that the statistics were flawed. Which is *exactly* what you are doing, right? You agree with what the statistics say and you aren't arguing that they are flawed. Surely you can see how you are doing exactly what you speculated that Alma would do if the situation were reversed.


My point is that the same argument can be made in both directions. Anyone can claim that someone's agreement or disagreement with the methodology of a survey is biased by their own position on the issue being surveyed about. It's a meaningless argument by itself.
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#433 May 25 2011 at 5:02 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
Has anyone mentioned DADT is gone?
It is? Awesome, it was dumb any way!


All right! One step closer to integrated male/female showers/rooms!!
#434 May 25 2011 at 5:05 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
You said that he wouldn't be so vocal in his opposition to the statistics if they said something he agreed with
Which is true.
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#435 May 25 2011 at 5:07 PM Rating: Excellent
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All right! One step closer to integrated male/female showers/rooms!!
Cuz dem ****** are all about the oogling the goodies, amirite?
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#436 May 25 2011 at 5:15 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
Oh, no that's not what I said at all. I said that he wouldn't have any problem presenting statistics that he were inaccurate if they supported his position.


No. You said that he wouldn't be so vocal in his opposition to the statistics if they said something he agreed with. I can quote you again if you want.
Go for it, doesn't change the fact he wouldn't have piped up about the stats if he'd agreed with them.

gbaji wrote:
Quote:
Alma doesn't just disagree with the statistics, he assumes they must be flawed because he doesn't agree with them.


Yes. And you speculated that if he agreed with them, he wouldn't argue that the statistics were flawed. Which is *exactly* what you are doing, right? You agree with what the statistics say and you aren't arguing that they are flawed. Surely you can see how you are doing exactly what you speculated that Alma would do if the situation were reversed.
Not really, I don't baselessly say stats are inaccurate just because I disagree with them.


gbaji wrote:
My point is that the same argument can be made in both directions. Anyone can claim that someone's agreement or disagreement with the methodology of a survey is biased by their own position on the issue being surveyed about. It's a meaningless argument by itself.
You're the one who made it into an argument, gbaji, I was making an observation, of which I don't appear to be the only one.
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#437Almalieque, Posted: May 25 2011 at 5:29 PM, Rating: Sub-Default, (Expand Post) The result doesn't matter, it's the procedure.
#438 May 25 2011 at 5:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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Must suck to not be able to hide your homophobia.
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#439 May 25 2011 at 5:34 PM Rating: Default
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Must suck to not be able to hide your homophobia.


You mean HETERO-phobia..
#440 May 25 2011 at 5:51 PM Rating: Good
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Almalieque wrote:
The result doesn't matter, it's the procedure.

Edited, May 26th 2011 1:31am by Almalieque
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.
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#441 May 25 2011 at 6:05 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
The result doesn't matter, it's the procedure.

Edited, May 26th 2011 1:31am by Almalieque
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.


Have you been paying attention at all? I've been suggesting alternatives from the beginning. Not only that, I even restated it like twice in the past 3 hours. Besides, I wasn't using stats.
#442 May 25 2011 at 6:15 PM Rating: Decent
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Nilatai wrote:
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.
He thinks that rather than taking samples of the population randomly, there should be an equal balance between self-identifying liberals/conservatives or republicans/democrats. Nothing says statistical accuracy like exaggerating one political viewpoint in a poll.
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#443 May 25 2011 at 6:22 PM Rating: Default
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bsphil wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.
He thinks that rather than taking samples of the population randomly, there should be an equal balance between self-identifying liberals/conservatives or republicans/democrats. Nothing says statistical accuracy like exaggerating one political viewpoint in a poll.


Not just that, it should represent the nation. If 75% of the nation is Republican, then so should be the poll's population, if you want a more accurate poll.
#444 May 25 2011 at 6:24 PM Rating: Good
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bsphil wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.
He thinks that rather than taking samples of the population randomly, there should be an equal balance between self-identifying liberals/conservatives or republicans/democrats. Nothing says statistical accuracy like exaggerating one political viewpoint in a poll.
Oh, so he wants a poll to not be a poll at all. Awesome.
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#445 May 25 2011 at 6:28 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
bsphil wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
Suggest an alternative. Or never use statistics in any argument ever again.
He thinks that rather than taking samples of the population randomly, there should be an equal balance between self-identifying liberals/conservatives or republicans/democrats. Nothing says statistical accuracy like exaggerating one political viewpoint in a poll.
Oh, so he wants a poll to not be a poll at all. Awesome.


Uh... the exact opposite. If you're going to poll a sample of people as a subset of a total population, then that subset should favor the total population. It's a really simple concept.
#446 May 25 2011 at 6:32 PM Rating: Good
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You do realise that would lead to more bias than random sampling, right?
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#447 May 25 2011 at 6:44 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
You do realise that would lead to more bias than random sampling, right?


No, it wont. That's why political polls now say "among likely voters". As I stated pages ago, there are pro's and con's to each form of sampling. There isn't no one best way of sampling, but for a polling like this, random isn't the right answer.

How do you not see that?

If you poll 1000 people on President Obama's approval and the majority of the poll consist of Democrats, his approval rating will be higher than if the majority poll consist of Republicans. The only way to get a fair observation of his approval rating is to have a poll closely relating to the actual population.

If your subset doesn't represent the total population, then the conclusion of that sample represents another population.

That's like asking 1000 people (750 men/250 women) on their opinion on who should pay for dates or any other relationship question. That's not a fair analysis. It doesn't necessarily have to be 50/50, but it should be as close to reality as possible. Else, you're just making conclusions from a made up population.
#448 May 25 2011 at 6:51 PM Rating: Good
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You're assuming that just because people all vote for the same political party they agree with everything that party does. Thus skewing opinion polls.

I'm going to say that's not the case. I voted Liberal Democrat in the last election here, and while I'm disappointed with their performance as part of the coalition government I still think their party is the best choice. However, I know many people who, in light of the same information I am privy to, are wary of voting for them again. Either way, we're still supporters of that party(as far as voting goes, as of the last election), and our opinions of them still differ.
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#449 May 25 2011 at 6:52 PM Rating: Excellent
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Almalieque wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
Must suck to not be able to hide your homophobia.


You mean HETERO-phobia..


ITT: Alma admits he's afraid of straight women.
#450 May 25 2011 at 7:06 PM Rating: Default
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Nilatai wrote:
You're assuming that just because people all vote for the same political party they agree with everything that party does. Thus skewing opinion polls.

I'm going to say that's not the case. I voted Liberal Democrat in the last election here, and while I'm disappointed with their performance as part of the coalition government I still think their party is the best choice. However, I know many people who, in light of the same information I am privy to, are wary of voting for them again. Either way, we're still supporters of that party(as far as voting goes, as of the last election), and our opinions of them still differ.


I wasn't making that assumption, I just figured that was common sense. That fact doesn't change my point. Creating a subset that replicates the total population isn't "skewing". Doing the exact opposite is "skewing", because your sample doesn't represent the population.

If you think otherwise, please explain your definition of "skewing". It doesn't matter if there exist women who agree that first dates should be financially split, if the women aren't given a fair chance to explain their opinion, then it isn't a realistic sample, hence making it worthless.
#451 May 25 2011 at 8:30 PM Rating: Good
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Almalieque wrote:
Nilatai wrote:
You're assuming that just because people all vote for the same political party they agree with everything that party does. Thus skewing opinion polls.

I'm going to say that's not the case. I voted Liberal Democrat in the last election here, and while I'm disappointed with their performance as part of the coalition government I still think their party is the best choice. However, I know many people who, in light of the same information I am privy to, are wary of voting for them again. Either way, we're still supporters of that party(as far as voting goes, as of the last election), and our opinions of them still differ.


I wasn't making that assumption, I just figured that was common sense. That fact doesn't change my point. Creating a subset that replicates the total population isn't "skewing". Doing the exact opposite is "skewing", because your sample doesn't represent the population.

If you think otherwise, please explain your definition of "skewing". It doesn't matter if there exist women who agree that first dates should be financially split, if the women aren't given a fair chance to explain their opinion, then it isn't a realistic sample, hence making it worthless.
You make an assumption on what the number of self-identifying republicans SHOULD be, then gear a poll to hit that benchmark, rather than just asking a bunch of people randomly.

Hell, if you're going to do that, you might as well run two polls and filter the results to ONLY Republicans in one and ONLY Democrats in the other. Then just multiply the results by your perceived percentage of the public that you think Republicans and Democrats should be. If you think it's 75% republican and 25% democrat, then weight the republican votes by .75 and the democrat votes by .25. I mean shit if you're just going to make the poll up to suit your own ideology...
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