Jindo wrote:
Quote:
jindo check ur facts bud, smash is correct we had a surplus for a while.
Ok, hold on. Here.
http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/opd/opdpenny.htm
Now, notice how debt still climbed during the years we supposedly had a surplus? The U.S. didn't even earn enough to cover the interest. Some surplus.
Yup. That's because (as I keep saying), there are two different concepts here, which people keep getting confused about:
1. A surplus or deficit. This is purely a yearly accounting. It's the difference between the revenue the government took in and the amount of money it spent for that year alone. There's a couple other money making bits in there as well, but that's the bulk of it (see historical data at cbo.gov if you want more detailed info on this).
2. The "national debt". This is the money we've borrowed and is a culmulative figure over time. It is related to surplus and deficit, but only in the fact that a deficit must be covered by borrowing money (and therefore increasing the debt).
We pay off the debt all the time (in small bits). Each year, we pay into it (which generally results in payment of the interest on the debt, but can also actually reduce the principle as well). All payments to the debt are budgeted. We don't just have a running account and all extra cash goes into it.
On the other hand, all debt at any given time must come from the "national debt". This number goes up continuously during the year. Anytime a budgeted project goes over budget (even for a quarter), that money is borrowed from the national debt. What this means is that it's possible that at the end of the year, you collected more money then you spent, but you still borrowed money along the way (cause individual budgets were not correctly allocated funds).
That link is actually pretty interesting. The only year where we see a reduction in the national debt is between 1997 and 1998. Note, that this was *not* a year in which Clinton had a surplus. Clearly, he budgeted funds to pay off the debt (must have or it would not have gone down), and also accurately estimated the funds for each individual budget item so that very little money had to be borrrowed throughout the year (less then he paid back into the debt).
What's doubly interesting is that for FY1999 and FY2000, the debt went up even though Clinton had a surplus at the end of the year. What that means is that he collected more money then he budgeted to spend, but his allocations within that budget were not accurate so that money had to be borrowed throughout the year.
You can think of it this way. Each month, you take put money aside to pay for various things. You have a "budget" for food, one for clothes, one for each of your various bills, one for entertainment, etc... If any of those individual budgets ends up not being enough money for the month, you take out a loan from a bank. Of course, you may have made more money that month then you budgeted, but that money is sitting in a savings account and is not touched. At the end of the year, if you didn't allocate your budgets well, you can easily have a lot of money sitting in your savings account (a surplus), but have racked up an impressive amount of loans for money borrowed throughout the year.
This is what Clinton seems to have done. It's not a "good thing". It's a mistake. He did not allocate funds correctly (or had some projects that grew more then he thought). Despite having money left over at the end of the year, he still was borrowing money all year long. That's just **** poor planning. It is certainly nothing to point to as a success.
His surplus is not the result of some brilliant economic work. It's the result of two failures. First he miscalulated the amount of revenue his government would take in that year. Second, he miscalculated the amount of money his government would spend that year. I really don't see how anyone can look at this and say it was a good thing...