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#77 Mar 01 2004 at 4:54 AM Rating: Good
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Ok. Just figured I'd discuss the "Dem plan" a bit. Why not, right?


Quote:

Tax policies
Kerry wants to roll back tax cuts for families earning more than $200,000 a year. But he wants to keep the higher child tax credit, the lower marriage penalty and the new 10 percent tax bracket for lower-income families. He also calls for new tax credits for health care and college tuition.

Edwards has similar ideas, but has so far offered greater detail. He would repeal tax cuts -- including dividend and capital-gains cuts -- for what he says are the top 2 percent of Americans, those making $240,000 or more a year.


Ah. Ok... How exactly are they planning on doing this?

Big problem. They are mixing their rhetoric with their economics. There is no "capital gains rate for people who make over 200k a year" anywhere in the tax code folks. What the Dems do is look at the statistics of who makes the most money from capital gains and then calculates some percentages of "taxes paid based on income ranges". This is totally bogus. That's not how the taxes actually work. They may end up being that way, but that's not how the tax code is written.

The only way to increase taxes on those making more then 200k a year (or 240k) is to either simply raise income taxes on those higher brackets (which I don't think is what they are doing), or to raise the lowest capital gains rate (lowest being "longest term". Sure. Most people utilizing that rate make over 200k, but that's the cart leading the horse folks. They make over 200k *because* they invest and make use of capital gains. They don't get capital gains rates because they make that much money.

Anyone who says they are targeting capital gains tax increases at "the rich" is lying. Pure and simple. Capital gains tax rates are exactly the same whether you make 20k a year or 20 million a year. You pay a percentage rate on the gain based on the duration that the capital investment was maintained. It's really that simple. The only effect on capital gains based on income is that the "highest" rate you pay for capital gains is equal to your income tax rate. This means that people who have less real income start out at a lower capital gains rate (it'll never be taxed higher then income and their income tax rate is lower). But the longer term rates are identical, no matter what your actual income is.

Kerry and Edwards are using a popular misconception about capital gains (it's only for the rich) to push a political agenda. It's pure bull people.

Quote:
Edwards would also keep the tax on very large estates, and he would set the top rate on capital gains at 25 percent for families earning more than $350,000, which he says represents less than 1 percent of all Americans.


More of the same. You can't set capital gains based on real income (not without completely changing the entire tax structure). What he means is that he'll adjust the rate for everyone so that based on the statistics *today* it'll most effect those making over 350k a year. Again though. It's the cart leading the horse. But then it's easy to make bogus promises to a gullible audience that doesn't know better when you're trying to get a nomination. Give them what they want to hear I guess...

And the "death tax". Ok. This at least can be based on the size of the inheritance without completely changing huge sections of law, but what exactly are "very large estates"? What's the dividing line?

And I'm still confused why we feel we must punish people for being successful? That just seems backwards to me.

This is also yet another example of the Dems not understanding the issues. They rail about jobs and wealth leaving the country, yet try desperately to pass laws that will only encourage more of it. Ok. So I'll just move my estate and my holdings to Zurick or something. Anywhere where they wont take it from me when I die.

When you tax a particular group to death (heh literally in this case), you only encourage them to move their money to someplace where it wont be taxed as high. When that group happens to also be those who own the businesses and investment capital in the country, you are literally killing yourself by pushing this kind of agenda. You want to make people want to put money in our country. You want them to own their estates here. You want them to keep their money here. Thue *only* way to do that is to reduce the costs they have to pay to do business in the US. Increasing taxes kinda doesn't do that.


Quote:
Furthermore, Edwards would adjust the tax code so that the top 1 percent pay the same tax rate on investment income as middle-class families pay on regular income, to fix what he calls the "two tax systems" in America, "where a millionaire investor sitting by his swimming pool pays a lower tax rate than a Manchester teacher."


More cart pushing the horse logic. Again. People become wealthy because they invest. They invest because there are benefitial tax rates to investing. It's called an incentive. We want people to put their money into business and industry instead of buying up island nations in the pacific where no one will bother them.

It doesn't work in the reverse. Edwards is a financial disaster waiting to happen. The only reason there appears to be a "two tax system" is because the Dems have sucessfully convinced their constituents that they only people who can invest are those who are already wealthy, and that those who aren't wealthy have no chance of every becoming wealthy.

Two huge lies. But it makes this kind of rhetoric possible.

Um... I'd also like to point out that your 401k is catagorized as a long term capital investment. When you retire, do you want to be taxed at 15% (or whatever the low rate is), or do you want your government to take out 50%.

We are literally stealing from our own future with economic ideas like this. It's the kind of thing that appeals to those who've already given up and just want the biggest piece of the pie they can get, no matter what the cost to everyone else.

Quote:
Like Kerry, Edwards would keep in place the latest middle-class tax cuts and introduce more breaks, including:


a $5,000 credit for first-time home buyers


Eh? What is this supposed to do? That's what most escrow companies charge for their "earnest money" up front cost. When buying a home, $5k here or there really isn't that significant.

Oh. And for first time buyers. Well, I suppose it's nice, but this is still typical Dem thinking. Give a straight dollar amount. After all, don't want to confuse the people with complicated math. Hmmm.... No thanks Edwards. I much prefer those first time buyer benefits that have something to do with lower interest rates instead. That'll amount to tens of thousands of dollars over the long run and will mean a lot more in terms of how much a house payment is per month.


Quote:
a $1,000 credit for savings accounts


What does this mean? He'll give 1000 dollars to everyone who opens a savings acount? I really have no idea what he's talking about here.


Quote:
a cut in the capital-gains tax rate, along with allowing the first $1,000 in capital gains and the first $500 in dividends to be tax-free


Ok. This is kind of a neat idea, and I could even maybe get behind it (it's at least encouraging investment by the "common" man).

But what exactly is "the first" thousand in capital gains, 500 in dividends? The first in your life? I'm almost positive that the increased cost of implementing this change would far outweigh the benefits given. So, instead of paying say 300 dollars of taxes on that first 1000 I make in capital gains, I fill out a special form (anyone have any idea how much it costs for the IRS to add yet another schedule? Huge) and I get to pay zero. This just sounds like a huge amount of more administration (big government) to regulate a relatively tiny amount of money.

And it's yet again kinda pointless. The whole point of investment is to build "wealth". $1000 isn't wealth. If I'm going to get into investment, I'd much rather that they reduce capital gains tax rates across the board then give a free "trial 1000 dollars" when I start. No one retires on a thousand dollars. This one really is just window dressing IMO. Cute window dressing, but clearly a very bizaare attempt to come up with a way to encourage investment while not appearing to help the "rich folks".

Um... I thought the whole point of investing was to try to become the "rich folks". Why would anyone take this seriously. It's like pulling out an umbrella when you're already floating in the middle of the ocean. So Edwards wants to encourage people to invest, but "not enough so that they become wealthy". Eh? That's just dumb...



Overall, I rate the ideas as ranging from moronic to cutting someone in half with a chainsaw but then putting a bandaide on the wound and calling it "better".

Madness.

Edited, Mon Mar 1 06:42:17 2004 by gbaji
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#78 Mar 01 2004 at 9:16 AM Rating: Decent
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Gbaji-

I have supported my positions with a half dozen sources, all of which you have ignored.

Instead of responding to the crux of my argument (which is that supply side economics is a known lie propagated to bankrupt the government, supported by countless sources from the right, center and left) you have continued to do nothing but tout the false benefit of supply side economics!

Enough! I refuse to listen to any more of your lies. 2 + 2 does not equal 5 no matter how many words you write in that effect.
#79 Mar 01 2004 at 9:56 AM Rating: Decent
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Meandros wrote:
*sticks fingers in ears* Does not!


Fixed that for ya.
#80 Mar 01 2004 at 11:56 AM Rating: Excellent
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When buying a home, $5k here or there really isn't that significant
Five grand would have covered my closing costs. I don't know who's buying houses in your neighborhood, but I don't know anyone who wasn't tight for cash when buying a home and who wouldn't have much appreciated an extra $5,000.

I'm not interested in arguing ther est of it, but that statement struck me as either rather haughty or very inane.
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#81 Mar 01 2004 at 12:15 PM Rating: Good
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Meadros wrote:
There is a plan, that the democrats are generally unified under.

I'm sorry Meadros, I guess I wasn't specific enough. I should rephrase my question.

What are the Dems going to do, should they win the presidency, to replace the jobs that Bush is "responsible" for losing?

That was a great insight into the Dems tax plan, which by the way doesn't make any sense as gbaji neatly pointed out. But changing capital gains taxes isn't going to make American businesses up and say "We have to go out and hire more Americans!".

Give me something that directly addresses the job situation, then we'll talk.
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#82 Mar 01 2004 at 12:15 PM Rating: Good
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"And I'm still confused why we feel we must punish people for being successful? That just seems backwards to me." --Gbaji

The thinking here for Dems is that these people are so stinking, filthy, obscenely rich they wouldn't even notice or miss the extra money being gone. Of course, this ignores the fact that most wealthy people-- or rather, those who are intent on increasing their wealth regardless of how much they make --watch very closely what they purchase and invest in, so, yes, there is a built-in falacy in such a philosophy. Democrats hellbent on taking and spending your money won't acknowledge this, but prefer to think the "rich" spend their cash willynilly and roll about in it like Uncle Scrooge Mcduck. Thus, for such perversity, are deserving of having their extra cash taken away-- forcibly if necessary by jack booted IRS agents wielding guns stripped from the public by rabid anti-gun lobbyists.

It all comes full circle once the Orwellian, err Democrat Party takes control of the gubbment, folks.

Totem

#83 Mar 01 2004 at 12:25 PM Rating: Decent
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I say there are three camps of people:

1. Those who believe Bush's taxcut and spend policy is insane.
2. Those who believe that to bankrupt the government is a good thing so Social Security can be dismantled. They have created this myth of supply side economics to fool people who wouldn't support that agenda into supporting them.
3. Those who have taken the bait.

Which camp is Gbaji in? I don't know, he is ignoring the whole argument. I have supported my argument, easily I might add. All you would have to do is open your favorite search engine and look up "Starve the Beast". It is all there, clearly supported by people on all sides of the political spectrum.

Please. I am willing to entertain a whole lot of unlikely ideas. I believe it is possible, however unlikely, that our little Iraq adventure may lead to sunnier days in the middle east. I am willing to concede that it might be worth it to open up Alaska for drilling. Hell, maybe there were really elves in Europe that migrated to Valinor. Whatever.

But this is too much. How can anyone with any education argue that 10+ years of deficit spending is heathy, that it will not have an adverse effect on Social Security or our other safety nets? Short answer: you can't. That is why Gbaji must be in camp 2. He is too smart to believe this nonsense. Therefore HE IS LYING WHEN HE TOUTS THE BENEFITS OF SUPPLY SIDE ECONOMICS. The benefit is that there is none! It is sabotage of the Federal Government by those who run it.

Real fiscal conservatives understand this and are rallying against Bush:

http://www.thehill.com/news/021204/gop.aspx
#84 Mar 01 2004 at 12:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:

Democrats hellbent on taking and spending your money


To balance the budget. No more, no less.
#85 Mar 01 2004 at 12:32 PM Rating: Good
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Quote:
Of course, this ignores the fact that most wealthy people-- or rather, those who are intent on increasing their wealth regardless of how much they make --watch very closely what they purchase and invest in, so, yes, there is a built-in falacy in such a philosophy


This is exactly the point. The reason wealthy people are wealthy is because they are very smart with their income and capital. As Gbaji has pointed out, if you make it prohibitively expensive to be wealthy in a country, wealth will simply be moved to countries more appreciative of the investment.
#86 Mar 01 2004 at 12:53 PM Rating: Good
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Ok, Meadros, I'm going to give you the benefit of the doubt and ask you to clarify that last post. You believe the Dems want only to take our money this time for the express purpose of balancing the budget? And that given a balanced budget was accomplished the Dems would repeal the tax laws and refund whatever excess funds were in the government coffers?

And you believe in the Tooth Fairy and Santa Claus, right?

Giving money back and placing every extra penny into the hands of those from whom they took that cash is anathema to the Democratic party. On the contrary, they would create programs that would justify even more taxation, more class warfare, more entrenched bureaucracy. It is as much a part of their nature as the desire to breathe.

Look to Smasharoo if you need veritable proof. He believes that a tax rate of 50% is not outrageous. And he is the quintiscential Democrat.

Totem
#87 Mar 01 2004 at 1:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Who knows? I don't remember a whole lot of excess spending during the Clinton years, except for in the Special Prosecutor's office. He managed to balance the budget though.

Again you ignore the main point.
#88 Mar 01 2004 at 1:12 PM Rating: Good
The gross over-spending on Clinton's part was all off the books. It was the millions of dollars he spent having witnesses in the Whitewater affair assasinated. Bush Sr.'s over-spending was on the time and effort it took to make his son not look like a complete boob, as well as the also failed attempts on Dan Quayle's life. Reagan's over-spending was on the military harware race needed to crush the Soviet Union. Carter's over-spending was on the PR campaign that was meant to make him look less than completely incompetant during the hostage crisis.

All presidents over spend. Some are just better at hiding it than others. :)
#89 Mar 01 2004 at 1:32 PM Rating: Good
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The thinking here for Dems is that these people are so stinking, filthy, obscenely rich they wouldn't even notice or miss the extra money being gone. Of course, this ignores the fact that most wealthy people-- or rather, those who are intent on increasing their wealth regardless of how much they make --watch very closely what they purchase and invest in, so, yes, there is a built-in falacy in such a philosophy
I dunno.. Gbaji just claimed that five thousand dollars was a trivial amount to a first time home buyer Smiley: wink

Edited, Mon Mar 1 13:33:24 2004 by Jophiel
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#90 Mar 01 2004 at 1:38 PM Rating: Good
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Heh. I guess, Meadros, if you're gonna tell a lie you might as well make it a whopper...

Totem
#91 Mar 01 2004 at 1:38 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
I dunno.. Gbaji just claimed that five thousand dollars was a trivial amount to a first time home buyer


I guess it depends where you are buying. In London, it would be a trivial amount in terms of whether it will make or break my decision to buy a property. Sure free money is nice, but when you are looking at a mortgage of $300,000 - $400,000, $5k really is a drop in the ocean.
#92 Mar 01 2004 at 1:44 PM Rating: Good
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The same goes for here in Republik of Kalifornia, even doubly so for San Diego where Gbaji hails from. 5 large is a pittance when discussing property values around here.

Totem
#93 Mar 01 2004 at 1:56 PM Rating: Good
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Regardless of home costs in San Deigo, it'd be myoptic to pretend that was the case nationwide. For instance, I know Katie's home was obscenely low (in my opinion) though she said it was the norm for a decent home in the area. Assuming you're not buying new construction, I'd say the "average" starter home around here is $150k-$200k. New, that amount would probably get you a townhouse.

Which is my point. There's a lot of places and circumstances throughout our great land where $5k would be very handy, even if not essential, to people buying their first house. But it's casually dismissed as trivial, even as you complain that people see the wealthy as uncaring about the giant bags of coins they sit on. I just found it ironic and amusing, is all Smiley: smile

Edited, Mon Mar 1 13:56:44 2004 by Jophiel
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#94 Mar 01 2004 at 4:00 PM Rating: Good
Where my parents live, in Napa, CA, $5,000 either way on a house wouldn’t impact anyone who was really “in the market” for a home. How can a person really justify nit-picking between $545,000 and $550,000? Now, where I live, in St. Paul, MN, $5,000 would be a huge jump on some things. My home wouldn’t take that big of a hit, but in the depressed areas, the difference between $75,000 and $80,000 is pretty significant. It’s all about scale. To me it doesn’t mean much when the cost of a gallon of gas rises $0.20, or the price of a gallon of milk does the same. But, to someone only making $20,000 a year, I can see how it may be tough to take.
#95 Mar 01 2004 at 4:30 PM Rating: Good
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'Zactly. The people it's most inclined to matter to are the people it's most designed to help -- marginal people who are probably on the cusp of home ownership. Not that $5k is still likely to push them over, but it can definately be felt and lend itself to more people owning homes which is generally a good thing for the nation at large.

No, $5k doesn't matter so much if you're spending $500,000+ and buying a place in Napa Valley or San Deigo or the Chicago Gold Coast or whatever but I doubt those are the people it's really designed to help.
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#96 Mar 01 2004 at 5:44 PM Rating: Good
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To balance the budget. No more, no less.


This, by the way, is what I believe to be the crux of the matter. I have no desire to help the government balance its budget. Cut federal welfare dollars. Cut HUD funding. Cut the entire NEA budget. Cut congressional salaries. Cut the Supreme Court. Appoint a dictator. Viva la revolution!
#97 Mar 01 2004 at 7:10 PM Rating: Decent
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I'm all for cutting Federal dollars to Welfare provided that you're willing to pick up the slack at the state level (where programs like welfare, education, and even health care should be handled, in my opinion). I'd love to pay 7% of my paycheck to the Federal government for the military and national security, and 35% of my check to Minnesota. I'd love to live in a state where every citizen could get health insurance if they needed it or where we could educate our kids without Bush looking over our shoulder to make sure we're doing this his way.

I really wish it were that way, but it simply isn't, and it's not going back.

Grady
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#98 Mar 01 2004 at 7:45 PM Rating: Good
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Heh. I knew I'd get flak about that $5k thing...

Here's the deal. There are two different prices you really look at when buying a home. The amount you have to put down, and the total amount of the principle. Ok. Scratch that. Three things. Also the interest rate you get will combine with that total amount to determine the amount you have to pay each month.

But if we assume that interest rates are constant (this credit doesn't really change that rate, right?), then we're really just looking at how much you have to put down, and how much the total is.

There are a couple different ways to approach home buying. You can do a direct down, where you put 20% or more down and the rest is paid off as a single loan. Or you can do a secured loan, where you effectively put 5% down, take a loan on the remaining 15%, use that loan to make your 20% down, and take another loan on the remainder. Obviously, the second method will cost you less upfront money, but will cost a hell of a lot more in the long term (ie: Pay off that first bit as soon as humanly possible and watch your monthly bill drop hugely).

The issue with the credit is how the credit is applied. If they just take 5k off the main principle after the fact, then it's really irrelevant. You only "save" 20% (or 5%) of that money. A reduction of 5k off the price of your house only saves you a "real" 1k off the down, or $250 dollars if you go the cheap route. Um... That really isn't that much when you're buying a home. Cost changes off the top end really don't mean much. It's the down cost that you really probably care about.


Now. If they magically give you 5k to help pay your down(s), then that would be something. I'm betting that you are required to qualify for the loan on your own first though. Which means you wont be able to buy a slightly more expensive house with this credit. All it means is that you'll get 5k back after you put the down in. Don't get me wrong. that's nice. However, I'd much rather they gave me a better first time rate or something. It just smaks too much of those car dealerships that offer "no money down", "No interest until X date", "1000 dollar rebate". Um... It's a marketing ploy folks. Nothing else. In the grand scheme of your finances, it's not going to make any real difference. Um.. And that money had to come from somewhere, right? Who's paying this 5k? The government? Well, that's me and you folks.

I just think that it's something desgined to appeal to folks who don't really know much about handling finances. The actual benefit to home buyers would be minimal in the long run. I'm sure it looks good on the "issues" list though. Let's him say he's doing something to help out people buying their first homes, without really doing much (and while reaching into the government coffers at the same time! The ultimate Dem plan I guess!).



And Meadros. I'm sorry. I just don't get it. You've posted opinion. Nothing more. You've posted links to articles that also state opinions (which happen to mirror yours). That's nice, but that isn't "support" for your position. It's still just opinion. You can get 100000 people to say that the sky is purple, but that doesn't make it so. I've supported my position with logic and reason. I've stated what I believe will happen as a result of different economic actions, and I've explained *why* I think those things will happen. And my "whys", aren't just statements like: "Everyone knows supply side economics doesn't work". That's not support. That's still just opinion. Explain to me how letting businesses keep more of their profits doesn't result in those businesses expanding their product lines and hiring more workers. From my experience (and common sense), that's exactly what happens. I'd love just once for some supply side naysayer to explain to me what exactly the "rich" do with their money that doesn't result in more jobs and more products.


I don't want to see you quote someone else. I want you to explain to me, in clear and logical terms, step by step, how increasing taxes on businesses in the US will increase the job rate in the US, and prevenet US businesses from moving their factories and manaufacturing plants outside the country. Just explain this to me. I'd really really really love to hear it.

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#99 Mar 01 2004 at 9:18 PM Rating: Good
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Yeah, yeah.. yadda yadda yackity-smackity. I'm aware of how buying a home works, having been through the joy of it not six months ago. Point being, you didn't say anything about applied credits or when the $5k is 'awarded' originally. Really, neither you nor I know, given the single vague line. Hell, I'm not even defending the Dem's plan on it so much because, from that one line, I know very little about it. What you did say was "When buying a home, $5k here or there really isn't that significant", a sentiment I rather disagree with.

Now, I'm sure you can come up with fifteen paragraphs using "heh" a lot, describing in minute detail how that wasn't what you meant and if only I was as asute as you, I'd have known that but, regardless, what you said was "When buying a home, $5k here or there really isn't that significant."

Quote:
Who's paying this 5k? The government? Well, that's me and you folks.
Personally, between using my tax dollars to either pay for $5k toward first time home owners (regardless of how its applied) or paying for fluffed up Halliburton bills with an extra $100 million in questionable charges (hey, that's 20,000 new home owners), I know where I'd put my tax dollars Smiley: wink

It's a joke... spare me your Halliburton manifesto
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#100 Mar 01 2004 at 9:35 PM Rating: Good
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Hey! You guys are always on me about long posts. I honestly didn't know where the credit was supposed to be applied, so I just kinda gave it the "vague" brushoff. I suppose I could have just left it out of the quote, but then someone probably would have accused me of something and started questioning why I was "ignoring the good parts" of the Dem economic plan.

Dunno. It would depend on how it's implemented. But even if it's implemented in the "best" way, it doesn't come close to making up for the total disaster that is the rest of the plan. I still see it in the same vein as: "Encourage people to invest, but not enough to become wealthy". And I still think that's silly.


Oh. Nice avatar btw. I'm just curious. Is that a girl bird or a boy bird? If a girl, it looks like she's in for a rough ride. If a boy, well. Wozzah! Feel sorry for the wife... ;)
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#101 Mar 02 2004 at 1:20 AM Rating: Decent
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gbaji wrote:

I don't want to see you quote someone else. I want you to explain to me, in clear and logical terms, step by step, how increasing taxes on businesses in the US will increase the job rate in the US, and prevenet US businesses from moving their factories and manaufacturing plants outside the country. Just explain this to me. I'd really really really love to hear it.


Look Gbaji, I can't do it. I am not running some failing grand political experiment on the nation either.

It seems to me that things were running smoothly during the Clinton years, that those tax codes were working pretty good.
I am not talking about raising taxes on the rich or business, I am talking about letting Bush's tax cuts expire in order to balance the budget. That is not a tax hike. Obviously, to me anyway, they were a mistake that need to be rectified.


We have been in deficit spending for three solid years, and it is not going to get any better any time soon. We have three choices to make in order to balance the budget. We could either cut spending, repeal Bush's tax cuts, or a mix of the two. Any economic plan that doesn't address balancing the budget pronto is folly.
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