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#677 Feb 07 2013 at 6:28 AM Rating: Default
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I personally haven't heard any news on gun-free zones or laws against concealed weapons. That isn't to say that there weren't any, but all I have heard were magazine sizes, background checks and automatic weapons.
#678 Feb 07 2013 at 7:49 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:

If that was all we were talking about you might have a point. In this thread though, my argument has primarily been about two things: Concealed carry and gun free zones. Both of which are definitely on the radar of those pushing for tighter gun regulations.

I thought I'd been following this issue pretty closely, but I've not heard a thing about gun free zones and conceal carry laws being expanded federally. Smiley: confused

Maybe you're hearing about local policy stuff gbaji and confusing it with federal policy debate. Then again, maybe you're just making stuff up.


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#679 Feb 07 2013 at 8:39 AM Rating: Excellent
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Elinda wrote:
Then again, maybe you're just making stuff up.
Well, he said "definitely" so it must be true, and if you were honest with yourself you'd absolutely believe it.
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#680 Feb 07 2013 at 10:05 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Really? So where's Russia? Ukraine? Estonia? Lithuania? Greenland?
You didn't look at his chart, did you.


I did. I also noted that "gun deaths" isn't the correct metric to use. Do you see why? Now do you see why I singled out these nations?

You realize there are come legitimate reasons for using gun deaths? Should I link Mr. Chinese guy who stabbed 22 kindergarteners but didn't manage to kill any of them again?

It's certainly not the end-all, but guns are just better at killing things than anything else your average person can wield easily. There's a reason we give them to soldiers. If they could do just as well with a switchblade or a broadsword we wouldn't waste our money with the guns. That money is better spent carpeting offices anyway, so I'm told.

An assault weapons ban isn't really addressing the big problems certainly, but anything that turns a gun crime into knife crime is going to lower the fatality rate. You can go the route of trying to keep guns out of the hand of criminals here if that's more palatable, it's probably going to be more effective anyway.
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#681 Feb 07 2013 at 10:06 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Concealed carry and gun free zones. Both of which are definitely on the radar of those pushing for tighter gun regulations.


Where do you get these ideas? I haven't read one thing regarding adding gun free zones (which wouldn't have helped) or further restricting concealed carry (again, which wouldn't help).

What is being discussed is getting the kinds of firearms and ammunition that can kill 20 kids and a couple teachers without even changing the clip out of civilians' hands so nutballs can't get hold of them. What is being discussed is gun control measures that make sense - limiting the amount of rounds that can be fired and drawing the line between what the citizens actually need to protect themselves\hunt and what a handful of completely paranoid doomsayers want.

It's paranoid delusion and just foolish to think 1. that just randomly arming untrained civilians with fully automatic assault rifles will in any way protect them from government tyranny(they are much more likely to kill their friends and neighbors than trained armed forces attacking) and 2. adding more guns into circulation will somehow stop the mentally ill from being mentally ill and shooting up schools.

Edited, Feb 7th 2013 11:08am by Torrence
#682 Feb 07 2013 at 10:25 AM Rating: Good
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Where do you get these ideas?

The conservative echo chamber. The same place you get the idea that Obama's Birth Certificate is a thing to be taken even vaguely seriously.
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#683 Feb 07 2013 at 11:04 AM Rating: Excellent
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The same place you get the idea that Obama's Birth Certificate is a thing to be taken even vaguely seriously.

When everyone knows his birth certificate is a joke!
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#684 Feb 07 2013 at 3:50 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Now do you see why I singled out these nations?
Because you're cherry picking data to fit your narrative.


I'm pointing out cherry picking in the data used in that chart. By using "gun deaths" instead of "homicides", it creates a false perception that violence is correlated to gun ownership by concealing the fact that these nations have higher homicide rates despite having much lower gun ownership rates.
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#685 Feb 07 2013 at 4:03 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
And it's almost as though I previously mentioned the circular nature of listing only "gun deaths" and you ignored that. Fancy that indeed.

Because "circular logic!" is your fallback when you're wrong. Nothing more complex to it than that.


No. I use it when it's accurate. Correlating gun ownership to "gun deaths" is circular. It's like starting with an assumption that blue cars cause accidents, supporting this by correlating the ownership of blue cars to accidents involving blue cars and patting yourself on the back because by lowering blue car ownership rates you've lowered blue car accidents. But its the rate of all accidents we care about, right? But you've got that covered, because you'll just talk about accidents and "blue car accidents" as though they are the same and hope no one notices.

Quote:
"Oh shit, that data clearly links number of guns in developed nations to the number of homicid--- wait, no, umm... circular logic! Doesn't count!"


Just like that. The data does not link gun ownership to "homicides" (either in developing nations or not). But that wont prevent you from pulling a bait and switch in order to pretend that "gun deaths" and "homicides" are the same statistic. BTW, this is precisely why I mentioned that list of countries. They are all countries with higher homicide rates, but you'd never know it by looking at the chart you linked earlier. Using "gun deaths" instead of "homicides" allows you to conceal the data that really matters.

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In reality, there's nothing "circular" about it. I understand that you don't like the data and you're very uncomfortable with how it conflicts with your ideology but that's not really the same thing.


The data doesn't conflict with my ideology at all. It supports my position. What you're doing is manipulating the data to make it look like it supports yours. I'll once again point out my bewilderment at why people so strongly hold positions when they knowingly lie to defend them. If you have to lie about the data to defend your position, why do you hold it? Clearly, there's no correlation between gun ownership and homicide rate in a country, but instead of accepting this and moving on, you use "gun deaths" instead and pretend it's the same thing. Why? Clearly that's not why you support gun control, or you wouldn't support gun control. So why not argue with the reasons you actually hold the position you do? I mean, I assume there are reasons, so why parrot BS data like that chart? That can't possibly convince anyone of anything and you have to know it's BS.

Why do you really oppose gun ownership?
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#686 Feb 07 2013 at 4:04 PM Rating: Excellent
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The data doesn't conflict with my ideology at all. It supports my position


That frequently happens when you start with the ideology and go looking for data to support it. Odd, that.
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#687 Feb 07 2013 at 4:12 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:

The data doesn't conflict with my ideology at all. It supports my position


That frequently happens when you start with the ideology and go looking for data to support it. Odd, that.


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#688 Feb 07 2013 at 4:13 PM Rating: Decent
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Elinda wrote:
gbaji wrote:

If that was all we were talking about you might have a point. In this thread though, my argument has primarily been about two things: Concealed carry and gun free zones. Both of which are definitely on the radar of those pushing for tighter gun regulations.

I thought I'd been following this issue pretty closely, but I've not heard a thing about gun free zones and conceal carry laws being expanded federally. Smiley: confused


Gun free zones are already federal. That's the point. And concealed carry issues are what conservatives care about. This is another case of liberals not knowing what conservatives actually think or want, because they're only hearing the liberal arguments. Conservatives honestly don't care much about background checks, or reasonable magazine size restrictions. We think they're wastes of time and often cover for more problematic regulation, but those actual things that liberals spend a ton of effort making people think this issue is about aren't really that important to conservatives.

It's just funny because when you talk to liberals about current gun issues, all they talk about is magazine sizes and background checks. When you talk to conservatives they talk about concealed carry and gun free zones. Huge disconnect on the issue. Which is part of what I'm trying to point out.


Of course, I'm sure Smash will just say "See! Conservative echo chamber". Um... It's what conservatives are talking about. Perhaps instead of assuming what we care about, you should actually listen to us for a change? It's the liberals who tend to live in an echo chamber, because conservatives know exactly what the left is arguing for, but it's shocking how few liberals know what conservative think we should be doing in the wake of a shooting like Newtown.
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#689 Feb 07 2013 at 5:05 PM Rating: Good
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Gun free zones are already federal. That's the point. And concealed carry issues are what conservatives care about. This is another case of liberals not knowing what conservatives actually think or want, because they're only hearing the liberal arguments. Conservatives honestly don't care much about background checks, or reasonable magazine size restrictions. We think they're wastes of time and often cover for more problematic regulation, but those actual things that liberals spend a ton of effort making people think this issue is about aren't really that important to conservatives.

False. In fact, you don't even believe those things, you just haven't been told that you don't yet. Don't worry, you'll be informed what you believe in short order as bills make their way into Congress. Be sure to update us.
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#690 Feb 07 2013 at 5:25 PM Rating: Default
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someproteinguy wrote:
gbaji wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Really? So where's Russia? Ukraine? Estonia? Lithuania? Greenland?
You didn't look at his chart, did you.


I did. I also noted that "gun deaths" isn't the correct metric to use. Do you see why? Now do you see why I singled out these nations?

You realize there are come legitimate reasons for using gun deaths?


List some then. I can think of only one strong reason to use gun deaths as the metric to graph against gun ownership when comparing multiple nations. And that's to create a false impression that more guns equal more violent crime/death. While there might be uses for "gun death" (like if you want to look at accidents involving guns for instance), using it in preference to "homicide" when the context is whether guns make a society more or less likely to be violent is misleading at best.

Quote:
Should I link Mr. Chinese guy who stabbed 22 kindergarteners but didn't manage to kill any of them again?


For what purpose? Should we link to all the folks who were wounded but not killed in various shooting events as well? There were 58 people wounded in the Colorado Theater shooting. Do we count or not count those? We can, but we'd be talking about something completely different.

Quote:
It's certainly not the end-all, but guns are just better at killing things than anything else your average person can wield easily.


Yes. Which means that it's an equalizer. If a burly guy comes into granny's home with a knife and wants to kill her, there isn't much she can do about it even if she also has a knife. But if she's got a gun, she can protect herself from him. Hence, why homicide rates are relevant here while gun deaths are not. If she kills the intruder bent on killing her, it'll show up as a gun death but *not* as a homicide, while if she doesn't have a gun and he kills her instead, it shows up as the opposite. That's why counting gun deaths instead of homicides is the wrong metric to use. We want the gun death instead of the homicide in that case, right? Obviously, we'd prefer if neither died, but concealing the death of granny by a knife wielding killer in the stats because it's not a gun death is misleading and circular. It assumes all we care about is whether someone died by a gun, and not whether they died, or whether their death was a homicide or justifiable self defense.


Those differences are important, right?


Quote:
An assault weapons ban isn't really addressing the big problems certainly, but anything that turns a gun crime into knife crime is going to lower the fatality rate.


Maybe. But it'll increase the victimization rate, everything else staying the same. Because in the process of making the criminal use a knife instead of a gun, you'll also make the victims less able to defend themselves. I just think you're chasing the wrong end of the issue here.

That's a general crime assessment, if we're talking just about attempted mass killings, it wont have any effect at all. We can't limit gun ownership to the point where someone can't obtain sufficient firepower to kill a whole bunch of unarmed victims. We just can't. The criminal will always have the advantage in that situation. The VT shooter used a pair of pistols (with 10 and 15 round magazines respectively), killed 32 people and wounded 17. Clearly, restricting him to just 10 round magazines would not have made much or any difference. People planning these sorts of attacks will bring whatever they need with them, and plan the attack based on what they have.

We can't turn those into knife crimes. So short of that, it makes more sense to try to minimize the number of fatalities when such things happen and perhaps even deter them in the first place. That requires more firearms in the hands of civilians, not fewer. One person with a gun might have been able to save many lives that day. Speculation? Sure. But it's a reasonable speculation.

Again, we're arguing the wrong side of the issue and going in the wrong direction.

Quote:
You can go the route of trying to keep guns out of the hand of criminals here if that's more palatable, it's probably going to be more effective anyway.


Sure. No harm in trying. I have no issues at all with tightening up background checks on firearms to make sure that felons and folks already declared mentally unstable can't buy them. My problem is that the VT case is somewhat of an exception (and the laws were already in place anyway, just not implemented properly). Most shootings like this are not committed by people who would be blocked by such things (not already felons, nor already declared mentally unstable). Thus, my concern isn't with closing the loopholes, but the idea that there will be an attempt expand the criteria for being denied purchase of a weapon in the first place. I don't think that's a great idea. There are very few cases of folks using weapons purchased at a gun show to commit a mass shooting, for example (actually, I'm not aware of any). It's a myth that doesn't really happen, so while the general value of closing the "small sales vendor" loophole in terms of gun crime in general is legitimate, it really has no bearing at all on the kinds of shooting that is prompting the change.

I just think it's usually a bad idea to use the anger over one thing to push for laws that don't affect that thing, but do affect something else. It becomes about someone using that emotion to push an agenda instead of looking for actual solutions to the problem.

Edited, Feb 7th 2013 3:37pm by gbaji
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#691 Feb 07 2013 at 5:35 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:
Gun free zones are already federal. That's the point. And concealed carry issues are what conservatives care about. This is another case of liberals not knowing what conservatives actually think or want, because they're only hearing the liberal arguments. Conservatives honestly don't care much about background checks, or reasonable magazine size restrictions. We think they're wastes of time and often cover for more problematic regulation, but those actual things that liberals spend a ton of effort making people think this issue is about aren't really that important to conservatives.

False.


Which part? That gun free zones are already federal? I can link to the legislation if you want. Or do you mean about Conservatives not caring much about those things?

Quote:
In fact, you don't even believe those things, you just haven't been told that you don't yet. Don't worry, you'll be informed what you believe in short order as bills make their way into Congress. Be sure to update us.


When I do, I'll be sure to remind you of the "We think they're wastes of time and often cover for more problematic regulation" part of what I wrote. Magazine size restrictions have about nothing to do with anything. But we both know that wont be the poison pill in the legislation once it's written. And when conservatives oppose said legislation for those other reasons, the only thing the left will talk about is how unreasonable we are for opposing magazine size restrictions. Yes, we think they're stupid and a waste of time and money, but that's never going to be the entirety of the law the left writes.
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#692 Feb 07 2013 at 5:42 PM Rating: Good
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Remember when I said you were making points irrelevant to the argument? You're doing it again. That's why people are wondering where you're getting these gun-free zones/concealment laws. It's because you're bypassing the overall concerns expressed by the people and arguing your points that are irrelevant to the subject.
#693 Feb 07 2013 at 6:18 PM Rating: Default
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Almalieque wrote:
Remember when I said you were making points irrelevant to the argument? You're doing it again. That's why people are wondering where you're getting these gun-free zones/concealment laws. It's because you're bypassing the overall concerns expressed by the people and arguing your points that are irrelevant to the subject.


Huh? I'd wager that 8 out of the 10 pages of this thread have consisted of me arguing for elimination of gun free zones and broadening of concealed carry, and several other people arguing against me. That's hardly "irrelevant". It's what this thread has largely been about. It's only been in the last page that someone piped up with the whole "but that's not what anyone's arguing about". Um... It's what I'm arguing about. I don't really care what you think other people want to argue over.

Edited, Feb 7th 2013 4:20pm by gbaji
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#694 Feb 07 2013 at 6:57 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Just like that. The data does not link gun ownership to "homicides" (either in developing nations or not).

It does.
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BTW, this is precisely why I mentioned that list of countries. They are all countries with higher homicide rates...

So is Nigeria and Afghanistan. But we're discussing developed, industrialized nations for a reason. You need to keep trying to cherry-pick because your "data" can't stand without it.

For OECD nations besides the US (the ones represented in the chart) the average homicide rate is 2.15 (1.5 without Mexico included) per 100k and the average firearms per 100 people is 17. For the US, the homicide rate per 100k is 4.8 with 88 firearms per 100 people. I'd think there's a strong argument for excluding Mexico since they're an outlier due to a protracted drug war but to avoid you crying about it, I'll say fuck it and keep them in... and we still have over twice the average homicide rate as everyone else. Without Mexico, it's three times as many homicides as the average.

But yeah, "circular logic!" and we should be comparing the US to Russia and Cuba and Nigeria! Smiley: rolleyes

Quote:
Why do you really oppose gun ownership?

Wanting less deaths isn't reason enough? Bizarre.

[edit: Originally said four times the average rather than three. Math is hard, let's go shopping]

Edited, Feb 7th 2013 7:05pm by Jophiel
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#695 Feb 07 2013 at 7:53 PM Rating: Default
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Just like that. The data does not link gun ownership to "homicides" (either in developing nations or not).

It does.
Quote:
BTW, this is precisely why I mentioned that list of countries. They are all countries with higher homicide rates...

So is Nigeria and Afghanistan. But we're discussing developed, industrialized nations for a reason.


Sure. Which is why I then constrained my list to developed, industrialized nations (in Europe no less) and showed how if you use "homicides" instead of "gun deaths", said chart no longer appears to support your argument even with that limited set.

Quote:
You need to keep trying to cherry-pick because your "data" can't stand without it.


Where's the cherry picking? Even when we use the same set of countries you want to use, once we use the more relevant figure of "homicides", the data no longer supports your argument.

Quote:
For OECD nations besides the US (the ones represented in the chart) the average homicide rate is 2.15 (1.5 without Mexico included) per 100k and the average firearms per 100 people is 17. For the US, the homicide rate per 100k is 4.8 with 88 firearms per 100 people.


Ok. What do you think that means though? And what's with averaging the entire set you're comparing to the US? You're eliminating variance when you do that, but it's the variance that matters in this case. You're arguing that there's a universal causative relationship between increased gun ownership and "bad things" (let's use "homicide rate" for right now) among developed nations and that data showing a correlation between those provides evidence of that causal relationship. Right? You're using this assumption (that this is a universal factor in developed nations) as an argument against high gun ownership in the US. But to show this, you'd need to show that said relationship *is* universal.

For this to be universal among those nations we should expect that as gun ownership rate increases, we should see a corresponding and consistent increase in homicide rates among all the nations in the set. But we don't. There are nations with much lower gun ownership rates, but higher homicide rates than the US. If you chart them in this way (using the same method as in the earlier chart, but using homicides instead of gun deaths), and you then draw lines between the 0,0 point and each country, you'll find a somewhat random splay of lines. If there was a consistent correlation (every X rate of gun ownership produces Y rate of homicide) we should expect all the countries to fall more or less on a line.


They don't fall anywhere close to a line. There is no correlation. Thus we cannot claim that gun ownership has anything at all to do with the resulting homicide rates in any of these countries and thus can't use that non-existent correlation to argue that increased gun ownership in the US will cause (or is causing) a high homicide rate. You can make the claim, but the data simply doesn't support it.


Quote:
I'd think there's a strong argument for excluding Mexico since they're an outlier due to a protracted drug war but to avoid you crying about it, I'll say fuck it and keep them in... and we still have over twice the average homicide rate as everyone else.


That's not how the data should be read though. You could average the US in with all the developed nations except the Ukraine and make a similar argument about that country even though it has a very low gun ownership rate. Who's cherry picking data now? The reason you aren't averaging all developed nations and comparing against Ukraine or Russia is precisely because that wouldn't present a result that would appear to support your argument.

Quote:
Quote:
Why do you really oppose gun ownership?

Wanting less deaths isn't reason enough? Bizarre.


Except that there's not even close to sufficient evidence that lower gun ownership in the US would result in fewer deaths. And anyone who isn't starting with an insane bias should be able to trivially determine this by looking at the data on gun ownership rates and homicide rates. You're intentionally misinterpreting the data in order to argue in support of an already taken position rather than taking a position based on what the data actually indicates. Seriously. Pretend you have no position on gun ownership and look at the data. There's nothing there that indicates that increased gun ownership has anything at all to do with resulting homicide rates. Nothing at all.

Edited, Feb 7th 2013 5:57pm by gbaji
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#696 Feb 07 2013 at 10:19 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Where's the cherry picking? Even when we use the same set of countries you want to use, once we use the more relevant figure of "homicides", the data no longer supports your argument.

Sure it does. You don't like it buty denying it doesn't make it less true.

Quote:
Ok. What do you think that means though? And what's with averaging the entire set you're comparing to the US?

It's averaged because, frankly, trying to chart is creates thirty dots virtually on top of one another and the US sitting off on its own. As for what it "means", you already know.

Look, I get that you don't like this. That's fine. You're likely on the losing end of this debate in that some form of enhanced gun control legislation will make its way through. Given your inability to see clear trends in things like climate change, election polling, support for SSM, etc I'm not honestly going to sit here and debate "data" with you over and over while you insist that only the data you say is true is true.

Or, hey, maybe President Romney will show us how no state will ever vote to legalize SSM due to global cooling, right? The data proves it! I'm just too brainwashed and liberal to notice!
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#697 Feb 07 2013 at 11:54 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:

Sure. No harm in trying. I have no issues at all with tightening up background checks on firearms to make sure that felons and folks already declared mentally unstable can't buy them. My problem is that the VT case is somewhat of an exception (and the laws were already in place anyway, just not implemented properly). Most shootings like this are not committed by people who would be blocked by such things (not already felons, nor already declared mentally unstable). Thus, my concern isn't with closing the loopholes, but the idea that there will be an attempt expand the criteria for being denied purchase of a weapon in the first place. I don't think that's a great idea. There are very few cases of folks using weapons purchased at a gun show to commit a mass shooting, for example (actually, I'm not aware of any). It's a myth that doesn't really happen, so while the general value of closing the "small sales vendor" loophole in terms of gun crime in general is legitimate, it really has no bearing at all on the kinds of shooting that is prompting the change.

I just think it's usually a bad idea to use the anger over one thing to push for laws that don't affect that thing, but do affect something else. It becomes about someone using that emotion to push an agenda instead of looking for actual solutions to the problem.


This is where we probably are just going to agree the most. I realize the assault ban thing has momentum now, but I really wish this more practical concern was getting more attention. So many gun owners seem to be in favor of this route anyway (well at lest compared to other options), seems like a logical place to find some common ground (you pubbies like that word still right? Smiley: wink) and do something meaningful.
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#698 Feb 08 2013 at 6:07 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


I just think it's usually a bad idea to use the anger over one thing to push for laws that don't affect that thing, but do affect something else. It becomes about someone using that emotion to push an agenda instead of looking for actual solutions to the problem.

Law-makers have always used the momentum of the populace to entice an unwieldy bureaucracy into action. This is our history.

I'm not sure what problem you're trying to solve, but I think over-all most of the politicians simply want fewer people dead. Dead people can't vote ya know.

Gun Show guns aren't used in mass school shootings, but they've been implicated in numerous drug deaths on both sides of the Mexican border. The gun show 'exemption', in my opinion, is one of the stupidest things ever allowed into a piece of federal legislation. This is as good a time as any to attempt to fix that pandering blunder.

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#699 Feb 08 2013 at 8:27 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Why do you really oppose gun ownership?


So the liberal pinko government can impliment a totalitarian rule like every other state which doesn't let it's citizens have automatic weapons, obviously!


Oh...wait...Smiley: dubious
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#700 Feb 08 2013 at 8:48 AM Rating: Excellent
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Sure. No harm in trying. I have no issues at all with tightening up background checks on firearms to make sure that felons and folks already declared mentally unstable can't buy them. My problem is that the VT case is somewhat of an exception (and the laws were already in place anyway, just not implemented properly). Most shootings like this are not committed by people who would be blocked by such things (not already felons, nor already declared mentally unstable). Thus, my concern isn't with closing the loopholes, but the idea that there will be an attempt expand the criteria for being denied purchase of a weapon in the first place. I don't think that's a great idea. There are very few cases of folks using weapons purchased at a gun show to commit a mass shooting, for example


The hundreds of thousands used in "non mass" homicides are unimportant, clearly.
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#701 Feb 08 2013 at 9:27 AM Rating: Excellent
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2,010 posts
Quote:
Why do you really oppose gun ownership?


Many of us don't oppose it at all, we just don't think that automatic assault rifles make sense for today's civilian activities. There's guns designed for hunting and protection, and others designed to just kill as many people with as little effort in a short a time as possible. That latter type of gun only belongs in the hands of trained military or police personnel - not strapped to Joe the Bookkeeper's back.

As far as you wanting to expand concealed carry because it would help to deter such crimes - not sure that would help. Expanding open carry might, because when 20 year old 130lbs soaking wet psycho #93849 looks around and sees four or five tough looking guys with a handguns on their hips, he might think twice about taking that AR-15 out from under his trench coat and opening fire into the crowd.

Then again, he might not. It still seems like it would be better to just take that AR-15 out of the equation entirely.
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