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Consensus on Global Warming?Follow

#277 May 23 2008 at 6:09 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Sure looks like Joph is countering my argument about support for the notion of anthropogenic global warming by pointing to the IPCCs "consensus" about the subject. That was his "trump card" in the argument, which he repeated over and over...
Apparently you missed the second bolded section, to wit: "In recent years, all major scientific bodies in the United States whose members' expertise bears directly on the matter have issued similar statements."

Again, the IPCC in of itself was never my "trump card". If the IPCC was signed entirely by monkeys, it wouldn't change the fact that the consensus among actual research bodies doing actual studies and actually getting published is that ACC is indeed real.

In fact, you wanted to cry about the signatories to the IPCC and how many were real scientists and whatnot. The section I quoted doesn't even address the IPCC signatories but merely mentions that the IPCC notes that that all the studies point to ACC.

I've invited you many, many times to simply start linking to some studies to the contrary. That's all. Honestly, that'd do leagues more to disprove the notion of consensus than this embarassment you're currently on.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#278 May 23 2008 at 7:58 PM Rating: Good
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This thread is made even more amusing by the fact that both parties are recognizing global warming as a serious threat.
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#279 May 23 2008 at 8:37 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:
Quote:
No one cares what the flat Earth fringe wackos think. Even if they turn out to be right, there's nothing lost by curbing man made production of these gases.


Nothing? Do you have any idea how much the proposed changes would cost?

I don't either, but this should give us some idea

Quote:
Former vice president Al Gore will launch a three-year, $300 million campaign Wednesday aimed at mobilizing Americans to push for aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, a move that ranks as one of the most ambitious and costly public advocacy campaigns in U.S. history.



How do you go from that to "there's nothing lost..."?


It's a trade off. Even if man-made global warming were a fallacy, such a campaign would have undeniably positive long term effects on our water, air, and other natural resource supplies. When you consider that a single B2 bomber costs more than double that $300 million price tag, the "heavy cost" of such thinking becomes nothing more than propaganda for the industries that helped cause the problem in the first place.
#280 May 23 2008 at 9:16 PM Rating: Good
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But you aren't defending the IPCCs consensus...

Defending it against what? As valid? Sure, I'm defending it as valid. The salient point is that I'm not required to defend it as valid to find fault with your ludicrous original post.

Logic, remember? What you excel at?


Nothing? Do you have any idea how much the proposed changes would cost?


Yes, to the GDP, nothing. That's the standard we have to measure everything by when speaking on this scale right? The economy is likely to grow *more* as a result, not less.


I forgot the follow up to that. If the advocacy campaign alone will cost 300 million, I think it's safe to say that the public cost will be many orders of magnitude higher. People don't pay more for advertising then the project they want will cost, especially when dealing with public money...


$300,000,000? Are you joking? Can you even conceive of how minuscule an amount that is? This is your argument? "I have no idea of the economic impact, but let's assume it was bad so I can cling to some ludicrous reason to continue to support an ideology no one's left to advocate for." Really?

We spend $400 Billion annually just servicing interest on the national debt. Will it be more than that? Because it's fascinating how it's a meaningless amount in one argument, then suddenly crippling in another.

It's been a rough year for you, huh? The gays next door can get married, McCain doesn't support any of your positions, tax cuts are leading to slowing economy with rising inflation *yet again*. Christ, it's almost enough to make someone lose touch with reality.

Haha. Just kidding. "Almost". I kill me.



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#281 May 23 2008 at 10:32 PM Rating: Good
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Oh god, back to the "lowering our emissions will cost us hugely economically, and cost us hugely as a society" fallacy.


NO. it will Adversley affect SOME people's jobs, and SOME people's businesses, BUT NOT a majority of people's jobs or business, and the net economic and social gains will outweigh the costs.

It's going to be like all the horse and steam powered industries and jobs losing out when we switched over to petrol and electricity, but did society lose out in the long run? No, our wealth and technology flowered like never before.

Of COURSE the coal and petrochemical industries are crying. But it's not anyone's responsibility to set our society in stone for them. In Australia, we have universal unemployment benefits (at a set single rate) no matter WHY you lost your job, and government funded re-training, for people who lose their jobs. For the people with investments in an old technology, they should have followed the FIRST RULE OF INVESTING YOUR MONEY.

DIVERSIFY, DIVERSIFY, DIVERSIFY.


let's look at an example, culled from a science "magazine" type documentary I watched two nights ago. Sorry, It was heard, I don't know the correct spelling of the first city.

The city of Woking (or something) in GB, has just already implemented a new CHP, Combined Heat and Power, solution for it's city. It has dropped the the city's utilities' greenhouse gas output by 70%, and everyone's utilities bills have gone DOWN by 10%. It's so successful, that the City of London has headhunted the guy responsible for managing it, to do the exact same thing to London. And it's all done with off the shelf technology available right now.

The combined system produces electricity from a variety of sources, heating of buildings, heating of domestic and business's water supply, AND, in the "tri-step" phase, air-conditioned cool air.

Edited, May 24th 2008 2:47am by Aripyanfar
#282 May 24 2008 at 5:51 PM Rating: Decent
I feel sorry for Gbaji. A republican in a world where reality has a confirmed liberal bias. Damn liberals, what won't they fix?

Edited, May 24th 2008 10:39pm by Kavekk
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