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#252 May 22 2008 at 6:21 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Yes. But the categorization of those papers is going to (presumably) be based on the scientific definition of "climate change", right?
Wrong. Keywords are added by the author. I suppose there might be a wealth of studies which refute ACC but the authors didn't think to tag their study with the relevant keywords.


Correct. And the footnote at the bottom of the quoted article says:

Quote:
# The first year for which the database consistently published abstracts was 1993. Some abstracts were deleted from our analysis because, although the authors had put "climate change" in their key words, the paper was not about climate change.



You do see how the definition of "climate change" is kinda important, right?



Um... Also, assuming the authors submitting papers know their subjects, they're not going to use a keyword that isn't applicable. The point is that it should not be surprising at all to find zero papers categorized under "climate change" that talk about non human effects on weather over time.


It's roughly equivalent to feigning surprise that under the heading of "automobiles" you failed to find anything talking about horse drawn carriages. Worse, what the IPCC has essentially done is then take the definition of "automobile", expand it to mean "any vehicle", and conclude that the consensus is that the only vehicles in existence are automobiles...


How much mental gyration do you have to go through to continue denying that there's something fishy going on at the IPCC?
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#253 May 22 2008 at 6:26 PM Rating: Good
gbaji wrote:

How much mental gyration do you have to go through to continue denying that there's something fishy going on at the IPCC?


Is this a test again?

Honestly, as convoluted as the arguments you're trying to make are, it's pathetically ironic that you'd suggest this. You cannot be for real.
#254 May 22 2008 at 6:26 PM Rating: Excellent
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Erm, the IPCC is your own private cross to bear. I haven't really tried defending them at all in this thread. Honestly, if you really want to check it whether or not the right definition of "climate change" was used, go purchase access to the ISI and go wild. Hell, maybe a bunch of stuff has turned up since the study was done and you can wave it around and holler.

But, whatever. Six pages of you with your fingers in your ears is enough. I'm off to kill some disembodied arms in LoTRO.
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#255 May 22 2008 at 6:31 PM Rating: Good
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Speaking of something fishy, there were tornadoes today right down the freeway from my house.... in Southern California.

In before Pat Robertson says this is God's wrath for overturning the gay marriage ban.

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#256 May 22 2008 at 6:35 PM Rating: Good
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Barkingturtle wrote:
gbaji wrote:

How much mental gyration do you have to go through to continue denying that there's something fishy going on at the IPCC?


Is this a test again?

Honestly, as convoluted as the arguments you're trying to make are, it's pathetically ironic that you'd suggest this. You cannot be for real.



So you missed the part where I explained that the IPCC uses a different definition of "climate change"?

Why'd they do that? The rest of the scientific community uses the FCCC definition. It's not rocket science to see that if all the scientific papers are written using that definition, then all the papers on "climate change" are going to talk about human influence on the climate, right?


If that's not fishy, then what is?
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#257 May 22 2008 at 6:38 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Erm, the IPCC is your own private cross to bear. I haven't really tried defending them at all in this thread.


Yes. You have. Because the original article I linked was specific to debunking the "consensus" argument based on the (wait for it...) IPCC's reports on the subject.


By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC. Neither I nor the article attacked the broad fields of science on "climate change". The complaint was very specific to the IPCCs "consensus", and Al Gore's statements about said consensus.

If you weren't defending those things, then what exactly were you doing Joph?
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#258 May 22 2008 at 6:44 PM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
Erm, the IPCC is your own private cross to bear. I haven't really tried defending them at all in this thread.


Yes. You have. Because the original article I linked was specific to debunking the "consensus" argument based on the (wait for it...) IPCC's reports on the subject.


By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC. Neither I nor the article attacked the broad fields of science on "climate change". The complaint was very specific to the IPCCs "consensus", and Al Gore's statements about said consensus.

If you weren't defending those things, then what exactly were you doing Joph?


Pointing out the stupidity of the article to which you linked?
#259 May 22 2008 at 7:12 PM Rating: Decent
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By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC.


Oh, is that how it works? So if you post an article stating child rapists should have their families killed, and I disagree, I'm defending child rape?

Yeah, you excel at logic.

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#260 May 22 2008 at 7:21 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC.


Oh, is that how it works? So if you post an article stating child rapists should have their families killed, and I disagree, I'm defending child rape?

Yeah, you excel at logic.



You aren't defending the action, you are defending the person (people)

So you'd be defending the child rapist.
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#261 May 22 2008 at 8:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC. Neither I nor the article attacked the broad fields of science on "climate change".
[...]
If you weren't defending those things, then what exactly were you doing Joph?
Rolling my eyes at you

Smiley: rolleyes

You asked in your original post, "So. Does this toss out the "most scientists believe in global warming" argument?" The answer, for reasons stated on pages 1-6, is "No".

Edited, May 22nd 2008 11:33pm by Jophiel
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#262 May 22 2008 at 8:37 PM Rating: Default
Smasharoo wrote:

By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC.


Oh, is that how it works? So if you post an article stating child rapists should have their families killed, and I disagree, I'm defending child rape?

Yeah, you fail at logic.


You both share that flaw.
#263 May 22 2008 at 8:44 PM Rating: Excellent
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#264 May 22 2008 at 9:23 PM Rating: Decent
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You both share that flaw.


Not even vaguely similar. Still funny, don't get me wrong, but less so because it doesn't make any sense.

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#265 May 22 2008 at 9:27 PM Rating: Decent
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BD is a man on a mission.


I know, he holds a grudge like he's Irish.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#266 May 22 2008 at 9:42 PM Rating: Decent
Smasharoo wrote:

You both share that flaw.


Not even vaguely similar. Still funny, don't get me wrong, but less so because it doesn't make any sense.


They're exactly the same. What's funny is that you don't see why. :)
#267 May 22 2008 at 9:45 PM Rating: Decent
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They're exactly the same. What's funny is that you don't see why. :)


Really, logician? Could you explain to me how? Not that I want to invest a gret deal of time in this. BD's point that I'm as much an unreasonable **** as Gbaji is, is totally valid and as I said already, funny, but the two statements are completely different.

Or, hey, maybe I'm wrong. Show me how they're the same. You're perfectly willing to back up your statements just as you expect others to do, right?

I won't hold my breath. :)

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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#268 May 23 2008 at 12:44 AM Rating: Decent
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BrownDuck wrote:
Smasharoo wrote:

By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC.


Oh, is that how it works? So if you post an article stating child rapists should have their families killed, and I disagree, I'm defending child rape?

Yeah, you fail at logic.


You both share that flaw.


Why not do us a favor and symbolize the argumentative forms and fill in any missing inferences; that way you can truly strip away any irrelevant content and demonstrate the logical equivalence. The resulting chain of conditions should turn out to look the same if this is true. I'd do it for you and see if it is, but it shouldn't be any trouble at all for a logician.

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Edited, May 23rd 2008 4:48am by Pensive
#269 May 23 2008 at 12:21 PM Rating: Excellent
definitive proof of global warming

http://www.neatorama.com/images/2006-05/positive-proof-global-warming-underwear.jpg
#270 May 23 2008 at 2:39 PM Rating: Default
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Smasharoo wrote:

By arguing against that, you are "defending" the IPCC.


Oh, is that how it works? So if you post an article stating child rapists should have their families killed, and I disagree, I'm defending child rape?


No. That's not how it works.

If there's an organization out there that promotes the idea that child rapists should have their families killed, and I post an article saying that this organization's conclusions are wrong, and then you disagree with the article I've posted, then it's absolutely correct to assume that you agree with the organization that believes the families of child rapists should be killed.


See. That logic. Now. If you said something like: "I don't agree with the idea that the families of child rapists should be killed, but I also don't agree with the logic being used in the article to make this point", then you might have a bit of wiggle room.

But that's not what happened in this thread. Everyone simply attacked the article I linked, bashed them for their list of "scientists", etc, without actually addressing the core issue at all. I repeatedly asked people to apply the same logic they were using to the IPCC and its consensus methodology, and got nothing but more attacks for my trouble.

The stated point within the article was not to "prove" that global warming exists or doesn't exist, but purely to debunk the idea that a "consensus" of scientists either exists or is relevant to determining the truth of the matter. If you read it, and you understood it, and you disagreed with it, then one kinda has to conclude that you do believe that the consensus methodology used by the IPCC is a valid way to determine "truth" and should be acted upon as though it is proven fact.


How about we just clear this up right now?

Are you saying that the IPCC's consensus is an invalid proof of global warming theory? Yes or no.

Quote:
Yeah, you excel at logic.


Actually. I do. You, however, manage to use a logical fallacy with virtually every single post. It's amazing really. Someone ought to do a study on you or something...
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#271 May 23 2008 at 2:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Are you saying that the IPCC's consensus is an invalid proof of global warming theory? Yes or no.


I haven't seen anyone aver that a consensus is proof.

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#272 May 23 2008 at 2:49 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
But that's not what happened in this thread. Everyone simply attacked the article I linked, bashed them for their list of "scientists", etc, without actually addressing the core issue at all. I repeatedly asked people to apply the same logic they were using to the IPCC and its consensus methodology, and got nothing but more attacks for my trouble.
You posted the OP asking if the ridiculous list of OMG SCIENTISTS meant that we could throw out the idea that a concensus of scientists agree that we're experiencing anthropogenic climate change. The answer is no. The reason is because the concensus that people are referring to isn't your silly list nor particularly the IPCC list either.

You're trying desparately to knock down the IPCC signatories as if it proves anything. It doesn't. No one except you is claiming it to be evidence.

****, I don't actually care but since you're jizzing all over yourself in excitment to talk about it, I give up. How many signatories to the IPCC report are scientists involved in the field of climatology or someting related? Just so you can prove me wrong, I'm going to guess 100%.
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#273 May 23 2008 at 4:46 PM Rating: Excellent
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If there's an organization out there that promotes the idea that child rapists should have their families killed, and I post an article saying that this organization's conclusions are wrong, and then you disagree with the article I've posted, then it's absolutely correct to assume that you agree with the organization that believes the families of child rapists should be killed.


See. That logic.



0f course it isn't. That's not logic, idiot. I know you don't see why, because you're so shockingly bad at understanding how logic works so let me help:

Given one group asserts a=b, because of c and one group asserts a<>b *because* of d, it's perfectly logically consistent to disagree with d without making a determination about a=b.

See, moron? That's how logic works. The case here is that d fails. a may not equal b, but not because of d. The IPCC might be run by liar with an explicit political agenda. It might be a perfect interpretation of the science. Neither of these is addressed by this article, nor does it speak in any to what the consensus opinion is. Arguing that it's terrible methodology, and can't be taken seriously doesn't oblige one to support the other side.


Actually. I do. You, however, manage to use a logical fallacy with virtually every single post.


Funny how you've never manged to find one out of 20,000 then isn't it? You poor thing. What's it like to be so terrible at something you pride yourself as being so good at?

:(

Edited, May 23rd 2008 8:58pm by Smasharoo
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#274 May 23 2008 at 4:51 PM Rating: Decent
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Are you saying that the IPCC's consensus is an invalid proof of global warming theory? Yes or no.


Sure. Do you want give that another go with a word other than "proof" so the rest of us can stop laughing at you? Really, it's too much. You're too generous. I know laughter's good for people and all, but think of yourself just this once.

Do I think it's sufficient evidence to act when virtually every climatologist agrees it's likely that man made warming is a significant factor? Yes. So do the majority of governments and people in the world. No one cares what the flat Earth fringe wackos think. Even if they turn out to be right, there's nothing lost by curbing man made production of these gases. So let's err on the side of not letting our great grandchildren live in a barren wasteland.

Just kidding, we both know you're never going to have children.

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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#275 May 23 2008 at 5:07 PM Rating: Good
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Samira wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Are you saying that the IPCC's consensus is an invalid proof of global warming theory? Yes or no.


I haven't seen anyone aver that a consensus is proof.



You haven't? I have

Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:

Sure. They "support the notion" of anthropogenic global warming. They don't state with absolute certainty that it's the "cause" of the warming we've experienced in the last century.

Christ almighty. Go join the Creationists, Gbaji because you've just sunk to their level of scientific expertise.
Gbaji wrote:

Very very few scientist in the field will state with absolute certainty however that one specificall *is* causing the other right now. Just that it *could* be the cause...

Science in Dec. 2004 wrote:

In its most recent assessment, IPCC states unequivocally that the consensus of scientific opinion is that Earth's climate is being affected by human activities
[...]
IPCC is not alone in its conclusions. In recent years, all major scientific bodies in the United States whose members' expertise bears directly on the matter have issued similar statements.

See, this is the difference between you and I. I am actually linking to evidence and you're making up sh*t to minimize the issue.



Sure looks like Joph is countering my argument about support for the notion of anthropogenic global warming by pointing to the IPCCs "consensus" about the subject. That was his "trump card" in the argument, which he repeated over and over...


How anyone, much less Joph, can now argue that their position was not based in any way on the consensus generated by the IPCC is mind boggling. That has been the heart and soul of the global warming argument. That 2500 scientists from the IPCC declared a consensus that global warming was the result of human activity. I've repeatedly pointed out that a consensus is *not* science and should not be the basis of anything, but continually get the same response:

"But there's a consensus!!!"


After 20 times around that track, you're now arguing that you guys never made that argument in the first place? Ridiculous!

Edited, May 23rd 2008 6:08pm by gbaji
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#276 May 23 2008 at 5:17 PM Rating: Good
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Smasharoo wrote:


Are you saying that the IPCC's consensus is an invalid proof of global warming theory? Yes or no.


Sure. Do you want give that another go with a word other than "proof" so the rest of us can stop laughing at you? Really, it's too much. You're too generous. I know laughter's good for people and all, but think of yourself just this once.


Um... Was that a yes or a no?

Quote:
Do I think it's sufficient evidence to act when virtually every climatologist agrees it's likely that man made warming is a significant factor? Yes. So do the majority of governments and people in the world.


Ah. But you aren't defending the IPCCs consensus...

Do you just smack into walls and fall into potholes too?


Quote:
No one cares what the flat Earth fringe wackos think. Even if they turn out to be right, there's nothing lost by curbing man made production of these gases.


Nothing? Do you have any idea how much the proposed changes would cost?

I don't either, but this should give us some idea

Quote:
Former vice president Al Gore will launch a three-year, $300 million campaign Wednesday aimed at mobilizing Americans to push for aggressive reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, a move that ranks as one of the most ambitious and costly public advocacy campaigns in U.S. history.



How do you go from that to "there's nothing lost..."?


EDIT: I forgot the follow up to that. If the advocacy campaign alone will cost 300 million, I think it's safe to say that the public cost will be many orders of magnitude higher. People don't pay more for advertising then the project they want will cost, especially when dealing with public money...

Edited, May 23rd 2008 6:20pm by gbaji
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