Forum Settings
       
Reply To Thread

Consensus on Global Warming?Follow

#227 May 22 2008 at 7:42 AM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
You know she would.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#228 May 22 2008 at 7:44 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

You know she would.


Really? Maybe it's just the ******** I hang out with.

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#229 May 22 2008 at 7:48 AM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
Maybe. I can see someone asking for a cite ("Really? Where'd you read that?"), but not a specific link.

____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#230 May 22 2008 at 7:55 AM Rating: Good
Samira wrote:
Maybe. I can see someone asking for a cite ("Really? Where'd you read that?"), but not a specific link.


It depends on how it's phrased. If Flea says "I think President Obama will appoint..." then it's her opinion/deduction, and that's pretty much it.

Had she said "President Obama will appint Mr Thingy as ambassador..." then it'd be expected to ask where she had read it/got the info from.

I think.


Edited, May 22nd 2008 3:56pm by RedPhoenixxx
____________________________
My politics blog and stuff - Refractory
#231 May 22 2008 at 7:58 AM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
Smasharoo wrote:

I don't even know what you mooks are arguing about any more.


Essentially this:

Nexa and I come to Chicago and are having dinner with you and Flea. (Assume you're wearing wet suits and goggles while I eat) Flea says "I think President Obama is going to appoint Deval Patrick ambassador to Peru!" I say "Really? Could you email where you read that?"

Either: 1) Laughter ensues, followed by acerbic remark. 2) This seems perfectly normal and she emails me later in the day.



While I wouldn't be surprised if Deval Patrick was appointed to some major post since they really seem to have alot politically in common and have a strong alliance, I would be disappointed if he left his post as governor of Massachusetts. While I know it was a joke, I think there has been alot of bantering and I'm not in the mood to lose another governor who is more distracted by national politics. He's improved alot since he initially pissed off everyone.
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#232 May 22 2008 at 7:58 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

Maybe. I can see someone asking for a cite ("Really? Where'd you read that?"), but not a specific link.


Yeah, of course. The idea of me asking them to email me something about or vice versa, though, completely foreign. About the same as "Really? Can I **** your sister with a banana?" In terms of likelihood with my peers.

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#233 May 22 2008 at 7:59 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

While I know it was a joke, I think there has been alot of bantering and I'm not in the mood to lose another governor who is more distracted by national politics. He's improved alot since he initially pissed off everyone.


It's better for you and me if he does. He's going to get killed in 2010, and his people know it. If there's any sort of real offer, he's gone.

Edited, May 22nd 2008 11:59am by Smasharoo
____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#234 May 22 2008 at 8:01 AM Rating: Good
To put it in more realistic terms: say I'm sitting in a bar with some colleagues and we've had somewhere between a bathtub and an Olympic-sized swimming pool full of beer. In this situation, assume that one of my esteemed chums mentions he bore witness to a video clip of a hirsute pregnant grandma with three nipples and two assh*les being humped by an English Bulldog.

Now I wouldn't ask where he'd seen it, but I'd instead ask him to email it to me. This is because I forget things when I'm drinking, so it'd be important to have the email as a sort of reminder.
#235 May 22 2008 at 8:02 AM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
Smasharoo wrote:

While I know it was a joke, I think there has been alot of bantering and I'm not in the mood to lose another governor who is more distracted by national politics. He's improved alot since he initially pissed off everyone.


It's better for you and me if he does. He's going to get killed in 2010, and his people know it. If there's any sort of real offer, he's gone.

Edited, May 22nd 2008 11:59am by Smasharoo


I find the political system here very frustrating sometimes. And I hate myself for missing William Weld.
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#236 May 22 2008 at 8:03 AM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
Well, I was joking that Flea would. Just to talk about Peru.

If we were eating, I doubt I'd go and e-mail you later to back up what we talked about over dinner. If we were involved in a discussion online, I might do it but then again, I'm usually a pretty link-happy individual.

Edited, May 22nd 2008 11:04am by Jophiel
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#237 May 22 2008 at 8:05 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

Well, I was joking that Flea would. If we were eating, I doubt I'd go and e-mail you later to back up what we talked about over dinner.


Exactly. It'd be pretty odd for me to ask, right?


If we were involved in a discussion online, I might do it but then again, I'm usually a pretty link-happy individual.


Sure.

The point being you'd make obvious distinctions between the two social situations.

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#238 May 22 2008 at 8:08 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

I find the political system here very frustrating sometimes. And I hate myself for missing William Weld.


True story: Friend and I used to play doubles squash with Weld and his tailor, a guy named David when I was in school. You must have been in college, too, in the Weld years? You can't be much older than I am.



____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#239 May 22 2008 at 8:12 AM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
Smasharoo wrote:

I find the political system here very frustrating sometimes. And I hate myself for missing William Weld.


True story: Friend and I used to play doubles squash with Weld and his tailor, a guy named David when I was in school. You must have been in college, too, in the Weld years? You can't be much older than I am.





I was. I'm two years older than you and started college in 1989. That's pretty cool.How did you set up that? How is your family connected to the Mass. political system? I've read William Weld's books and like him in general, both in interviews and as a politician, which isn't common for me since he's a republican. But I guess we all know that one of the only reasons republicans ever got elected is b/c people wish that Weld was still governor.

Edited, May 22nd 2008 12:12pm by Annabella
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#240 May 22 2008 at 8:29 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

I was. I'm two years older than you and started college in 1989. That's pretty cool.How did you set up that?


The friend's dad had prepped with him at Middlesex.


How is your family connected to the Mass. political system?

Through the old Irish machine mainly. I wouldn't have met Bill Weld on my own, stupid as it sounds, there's still some cliquish exclusivity between the WASPS and the Irish. The Bulger family on the other hand, I would have had to explicitly tried to avoid from birth. James Micheal Curly is my father's father's cousin. Whatever that makes me to him. Even by college, though, I wasn't that close with any of the local guys anymore. My family mostly went off to war, then came back and got out the vote. Footsoldiers in local Democratic politics, pretty much.


I've read William Weld's books and like him in general, both in interviews and as a politician, which isn't common for me since he's a republican. But I guess we all know that one of the only reasons republicans ever got elected is b/c people wish that Weld was still governor.


We never talked poltics. David sold me a suit, though. My only real impressions of weld were that he was a big charismatic guy who was very very hard not to like personally. Funny and down to eatch. Also a good squash player.

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#241 May 22 2008 at 8:36 AM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
James Micheal Curly is my father's father's cousin. Whatever that makes me to him.

First cousin twice removed.

Edited for, you know, correct information.



Edited, May 22nd 2008 12:38pm by Samira
____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#242 May 22 2008 at 8:39 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

Third cousin.


I missed a father, actually. My great-grandfather's cousin.

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#243 May 22 2008 at 8:44 AM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
I missed a father, actually. My great-grandfather's cousin.

First cousin thrice removed. After that I'm out of "ices".

ETA: the rule is, "removed" refers to generational differences, while the "first cousin, second cousin..." refers to the commonality of ancestry.

You and your cousin share a pair of grandparents. You and your second cousin share a pair of great-grandparents, and so on.

Your father's cousin is your cousin once removed.


Edited, May 22nd 2008 12:45pm by Samira
____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#244 May 22 2008 at 9:09 AM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts

First cousin thrice removed. After that I'm out of "ices".

ETA: the rule is, "removed" refers to generational differences, while the "first cousin, second cousin..." refers to the commonality of ancestry.

You and your cousin share a pair of grandparents. You and your second cousin share a pair of great-grandparents, and so on.

Your father's cousin is your cousin once removed.


So you're saying I'm probably not getting The Desk when Kevin White dies, then?
____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#245 May 22 2008 at 9:09 AM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
Slap your name on that sucker now and who knows?

____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#246 May 22 2008 at 9:36 AM Rating: Good
Vagina Dentata,
what a wonderful phrase
******
30,106 posts
Smasharoo wrote:

Through the old Irish machine mainly. I wouldn't have met Bill Weld on my own, stupid as it sounds, there's still some cliquish exclusivity between the WASPS and the Irish. The Bulger family on the other hand, I would have had to explicitly tried to avoid from birth. James Micheal Curly is my father's father's cousin. Whatever that makes me to him. Even by college, though, I wasn't that close with any of the local guys anymore. My family mostly went off to war, then came back and got out the vote. Footsoldiers in local Democratic politics, pretty much.


The Bulger family, to say the least, are interesting people and through my job (though I can't talk explicitly about it) I've come into contact with many colleagues from both sides of the law. But I'm distinctly from the outside, being a Mainer and all. I'd be curious about your experiences with the Bulgers, including Billy Bulger, who may or may not been unfairly maligned (I actually have no idea). And it's cool to have a statue in commemoration to your first cousin thrice removed.

Edited, May 22nd 2008 1:36pm by Annabella
____________________________
Turin wrote:
Seriously, what the f*ck nature?
#247 May 22 2008 at 4:41 PM Rating: Good
Encyclopedia
******
35,568 posts
BrownDuck wrote:

So I searched for "IPCC consensus global warming" and came up with your article:
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/306/5702/1686

Fair enough. In the interest of disclosure:

Quote:
The 928 papers were divided into six categories: explicit endorsement of the consensus position, evaluation of impacts, mitigation proposals, methods, paleoclimate analysis, and rejection of the consensus position. Of all the papers, 75% fell into the first three categories, either explicitly or implicitly accepting the consensus view; 25% dealt with methods or paleoclimate, taking no position on current anthropogenic climate change. Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus position.

Admittedly, authors evaluating impacts, developing methods, or studying paleoclimatic change might believe that current climate change is natural. However, none of these papers argued that point.



Joph linked the same article many moons ago as well. Of course, "75% of the papers" is not the same as "75% of climatologists agree". It just means that most of those who submitted papers to the ISA fell into that category.


Um... It also would help to read the footnote (#9 IIRC). Basically, if a paper wasn't "about climate change" it wasn't included as part of that section. Um... Makes one wonder what criteria they used to decide if a paper was "about climate change" and therefore included under that ISA category.

You also have to realize that depending on who's terms you're using, the phrase "climate change" can have different meanings, and this in turn can lead to some seriously misrepresentation of the "facts". This is one of the reasons why many of Joph's external articles are IMO not meaning what Joph thinks they mean.

The FCCC (Framework Convention on Climate Change) defines climate change as: "a change of climate that is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity, that alters the composition of the global atmosphere, and that is in addition to natural climate variability over comparable time periods."

The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) defines climate change as: "any change in climate over time whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity."


How this can be misleading is that the IPCC does not actually do their own research. They use papers written by others to make political recommendations. I hope we can all see the problems that occur if the IPCC is using papers written about climate that use the FCCC's definition of climate change to support positions and recommendations that use their own. So, if they find 100% of the papers written about climate change conclude that it's occurring as a result of human activity, their use of the phrase "climate change" makes it appear as though this means that all the science says that the climate is changing as a result of human activity. But the source papers are *only* those that specifically talk about human impact on climate, so they've produced an incredibly misleading pseudo conclusion by only looking only at fact that support their own positions.


Similarly, when Joph cites papers and studies talking about climate change being caused by human activity, but none saying it's happening as a result of natural activity, it's equally irrelevant. Um... By definition all papers talking about "climate change" are only talking about changes due to human activity. It should not be surprising at all to not find any citing natural causes...


Yeah. Semantics. I know...
____________________________
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#248 May 22 2008 at 5:09 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
gbaji wrote:
Joph linked the same article many moons ago as well. Of course, "75% of the papers" is not the same as "75% of climatologists agree". It just means that most of those who submitted papers to the ISA fell into that category.
As I pointed out last time, one does not "submit papers to the ISI". The ISI (not ISA) is essentially a card catalog for academic journals. If a paper gets published in a journal they track (there's about 14,000 of them), the ISI squirrels it away.

Your arguments would be a lot more persuasive if you knew what you were talking about.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#249 May 22 2008 at 5:13 PM Rating: Good
Encyclopedia
******
35,568 posts
Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Joph linked the same article many moons ago as well. Of course, "75% of the papers" is not the same as "75% of climatologists agree". It just means that most of those who submitted papers to the ISA fell into that category.
As I pointed out last time, one does not "submit papers to the ISI". The ISI (not ISA) is essentially a card catalog for academic journals. If a paper gets published in a journal they track (there's about 14,000 of them), the ISI squirrels it away.


Yes. But the categorization of those papers is going to (presumably) be based on the scientific definition of "climate change", right?

Assuming they use the FCCC's definition (which by my understanding is the "standard"), then it should not be surprising at all to find that none of the ISI's articles filed under "climate change" include papers claiming a non-human cause.


Hence, the article's statement to that effect is misleading and irrelevant, isn't it?
____________________________
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#250 May 22 2008 at 5:30 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
gbaji wrote:
Yes. But the categorization of those papers is going to (presumably) be based on the scientific definition of "climate change", right?
Wrong. Keywords are added by the author. I suppose there might be a wealth of studies which refute ACC but the authors didn't think to tag their study with the relevant keywords.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#251 May 22 2008 at 6:11 PM Rating: Decent
Lunatic
******
30,086 posts


Hence, the article's statement to that effect is misleading and irrelevant, isn't it?


Nope. Do you see why?

____________________________
Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

Reply To Thread

Colors Smileys Quote OriginalQuote Checked Help

 

Recent Visitors: 390 All times are in CST
Anonymous Guests (390)