Professor stupidmonkey wrote:
Not sure if this
belongs here, or not. I just thought it was interesting.
I suppose that's one word for it. Irrelevant would be another. People don't tend to form their opinions (or stereotypes even) based on single outlier cases like what percentage of people committing food stamp fraud were white in a very small town where the population is over 99% white. They might, however, form opinions based on statistics (oddly enough in the same article) like that 26% of food stamp recipients are black, while blacks make up only 13% of the population. You know... relevant stats.
It is a great example of reaching though. I mean... really reaching.
Oh. As to the Trump thing today. I think that those who have a hard on for the whole "he'll deport everyone on day one" and "he'll build a massive wall and make Mexico pay for it!" narrative will be all aflutter about Trump backpedaling (either because they're ****** he did, or they want others to be ****** that he did). But I think that for the average person sitting at home watching this, who doesn't actively follow politics, what they saw today is an image of Trump that doesn't match up with the scary stuff they keep hearing. Which will likely be a positive for him. They also saw him meeting directly with a foreign leader and acting presidential (well, to a degree). Which will also be a net positive for him.
What struck me is that for the last several weeks one of the main criticisms I've heard being talked about wasn't his specific positions on this thing or that thing, but whether he could behave well in a diplomatic setting. The fear being that he'd just start calling people names and ******* them off or something. This event seemed to be designed to counter that idea. And I think it worked. The pundits will go back and forth for days talking about whether he changed his position, how it'll affect his support among this group or that group, but in all likelihood the net effect will be positive for him. Most people (well, those on any sort of fence regarding Trump) weren't waiting for him to confirm a super hard line position, but rather hoping that he wasn't going to hold to it.
One event like this, where people see Trump directly interacting in this kind of environment, counters a whole lot of speculative talk about Trump. Doubly so among the casual voter population.
I also find it interesting that Trump is going after African American voters. Not sure if that will actually work. But his whole "Democrats are the ones who are hurting you" narrative should probably not be so quickly dismissed by liberal pundits. Of course, I'm a bit biased because it's a position I also hold, so maybe I see it as something (maybe one of the only things) that's an actual positive in Trump's platform and approach. I kinda wish someone not Trump would have the cajones to make that same argument. But it's one area that the GOP has a bad habit of just shying away from and effectively giving up those potential voters.
We'll see if it has any impact at all, but I did find it interesting. And it's certainly more interesting than the article linked above (see how I brought this post full circle?).