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#752 Apr 29 2015 at 8:28 AM Rating: Decent
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Does welfare create and/or perpetuate poverty among the poor? My argument is that it does, and that blacks are disproportionately poor today because they were disproportionately poor at the time we introduced many of our welfare programs.

Nope. Middle class blacks are more likely to end up poor than middle class whiteys.

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2434178

Screenshot


So, when black kids start middle class, *not poor* they are wildly more likely to end up poor.

There are exactly two possible explanations for this phenomenon. 1. Widespread racism. 2. A genetic correlation between skin color and lack of achievement.

Pick one. You can't claim that racism isn't a prevalent and difficult to overcome force in American life and also explain the lack of black achievement without requiring that black people "deserve" to fail because of some fundamental shortcoming. Either might be true. There is no magical rule that states that race can't correlate with being lazy or whatever. I think the evidence indicates that it's pretty obviously widespread racism, but you don't. So....

Edited, Apr 29th 2015 10:28am by Smasharoo

Edited, Apr 29th 2015 10:29am by Smasharoo
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#753 Apr 29 2015 at 10:39 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel started this thread back in January when he wrote:
2014 is being ranked at the hottest year on record by NASA and NOAA. Skeptics and critics are trying to make hay out it saying that maybe the data shows it's only the second hottest year on record. Take that, NASA! Meanwhile Pope Francis is preparing a papal encyclical stating that, as far as the Church is concerned, global warming is real and is man-made thus giving conservatives reason to dislike this insane maverick pope even more than they did when he dared to discuss poverty.


Updates on the papal front...
New York Times wrote:
But now, as Francis prepares to deliver what is likely to be a highly influential encyclical this summer on environmental degradation and the effects of human-caused climate change on the poor, he is alarming some conservatives in the United States who are loath to see the Catholic Church reposition itself as a mighty voice in a cause they do not believe in.

As part of the effort for the encyclical, top Vatican officials will hold a summit meeting Tuesday to build momentum for a campaign by Francis to urge world leaders to enact a sweeping United Nations climate change accord in Paris in December. The accord would for the first time commit every nation to enact tough new laws to cut the emissions that cause global warming.
[...]
Speaker John A. Boehner, Republican of Ohio, invited the pope to speak to Congress, but some Catholics say that Mr. Boehner should prepare for some uncomfortable moments. Mr. Boehner, who is Catholic, has often criticized the Obama administration for what he calls its “job killing” environmental agenda.

“I think Boehner was out of his mind to invite the pope to speak to Congress,” said the Rev. Thomas Reese, an analyst at the National Catholic Reporter. “Can you imagine what the Republicans will do when he says, ‘You’ve got to do something about global warming’? ”

But that's not all...
National Catholic Reporter wrote:
Pope Francis on Wednesday backed efforts for equal pay for men and women who perform the same work, saying that continuing disparities in pay for women are a "pure scandal."

Reflecting during his weekly general audience on the "radical equality" he said Christianity proposes between husbands and wives, Francis said Christians around the world "must become more demanding" in emphasizing that equality.

"For example: supporting with conviction the right of equal compensation for equal work," he said.

"Why is it expected that women must earn less than men?" he asked. "No! They have the same rights. The disparity is a pure scandal."


Pope Francis also re-iterated the belief that marriage was between a man and a woman since he is, after all, still the Pope and stuff. Anyway, looking forward to his address before Congress this year.
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#754 Apr 29 2015 at 11:07 AM Rating: Decent
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Uglysasquatch wrote:
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Um... It's my analogy. I get to say what the freaking nail is.
If the analogy isn't right, then changing it is fine.

It's not that the tire has a nail in it; there's the nail, and two screws in the tread, and the side has been slashed, and the wheel itself is laying on the shoulder of the highway with the vehicle it was attached to careening through traffic. So, yeah, let's get that nail out!
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#755 Apr 29 2015 at 11:23 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Pope Francis also re-iterated the belief that marriage was between a man and a woman since he is, after all, still the Pope and stuff.
Probably another two or three popes before that gets nixed, maybe more depending how many temporary Palpatines get the funny hat.

Edited, Apr 29th 2015 1:24pm by lolgaxe
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#756 Apr 29 2015 at 9:12 PM Rating: Decent
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Almalieque wrote:
Gbaji wrote:
If you disagree that welfare is a problem, then make that argument.
Dafuq you think I've been doing?* I'm not changing your analogy. I'm using your analogy to correctly express my position. For some reason, you insist that my argument is to ignore the primary problem when I keep telling you that I don't believe welfare is the problem.


Stating a belief is not the same as making an argument. When I say that welfare is a problem, and list of a number of reasons why I think this is true, and your response is basically "You're wrong because there's this problem here, and that problem there, and this other problem over thataway", you're not actually making an argument that welfare isn't a problem. You're just changing the subject.

The only thing remotely close to an argument you've made about welfare has been that it doesn't affect people's choices unless they choose to make those choices. Which, as I've pointed out several times, is completely circular and non-useful.

Quote:
Gbaji wrote:
. The question was why blacks vote at such a high rate for the Dems.
Exactly. I gave you a list of policies that black people tend to support.


No. You gave me a list (I guess two things is technically a list) of things that black people oppose. Ironically, right after I pointed out that black voters tend to be motivated not to vote *for* the Democrats, but *against* the GOP. Those two things were "VRA (gutting of)" and "privatization of public services, such as schools". Again, it's interesting to note that you didn't frame this in the form of things that the Democrats do that you think black people support, but things that the GOP does that you think black people oppose.

My point is that it's always easiest to get people to join together *against* things than to join together *for* things. Which kinda supports my argument that black voters have been the recipients of a significant amount of political manipulation. It's just always been funny to me how I'll ask liberals to tell me what they are for, and why, and it's nearly impossible for them to do so without turning it around into a negative thing they are against. Funny. Not unique to black voters at all btw, but telling that you do this. And usually indicative of the degree to which the person has been subjected to liberal rhetoric.

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The initial conversation was why black Americans overwhelmingly vote Democrat. Your theory was that it was because of welfare. You then went of on a tangent to argue the supposed irony that supporting welfare was a major factor in black poverty. I countered to say it wasn't, asking if you were to remove welfare, would things like white flight and gentrification disappear?


Yes. I know the history. It was a dumb counter then, and it's no less dumb now. Notice how you didn't actually address whether or not welfare harms those who receive it, nor if it's a contributing factor to the perpetuation of black poverty. You changed the subject. This is exactly what I'm talking about. You just pointed to other things that you view as problems. Great! But that doesn't address the question of welfare.

If we end welfare things like question marks and exclamation points wont disappear either. What does that have to do with welfare? Nothing. That's the point. Bringing them up in that situation was purely about changing the subject. Eliminating welfare wont prevent aids, or world hunger, or help us build a base on mars either. Those facts also don't constitute a valid response to my argument about welfare.

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It's not all or nothing. Welfare increases the motivation to succeed because you can now get education and training to better yourself without worrying about rent or food.


That's the theory. I even addressed it earlier. Don't get me wrong, when people do use it this way, they can get themselves out of their state of poverty. Problem is that most people don't use welfare to get education and training for a better job. They just use welfare to get a better life while doing the same amount of work. There's more or less zero evidence that welfare recipients are any more likely to recover via education/training than those who don't avail themselves of public assistance.

And this doesn't address the generational issue. It's one thing for someone to fall on hard times, and receive temporary assistance until they get back on their feet. The problem is with the percentage who don't, and then raise children in that state. Their children have a much harder time getting out of poverty and avoiding welfare themselves. Over time, this creates a population of "always been on welfare". And it's in this segment that blacks are horrifically overrepresented. Single motherhood is the hallmark of that generational welfare effect, and black children are the victims of this at a disproportionate rate. 29% of white children are born to single mothers. 75% of black children are. That's three out of freaking four black children. You can't possibly be trying to tell me that there's no underlying generational poverty effect going on here.

As I mentioned earlier, welfare tends to replace the fathers in that situation. It's hard not to see a strong correlation between the effect of welfare on family and the effect of that on the children. And, once again, the effect of this is born most heavily by blacks. Do you think this is because black people choose to be poor more than whites? Or they choose to be single moms more than whites? External factors affect those choices. And welfare is a biggie.

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I'm not even sure why I'm wasting time with this. It's beyond obvious that you don't follow politics, at least to the level that I do. Chris Christie was one of the first to support the ACA. He implemented a NJ version of the Dream Act and supported Common Core. He also supported treatment over incarceration for nonviolent drug instances.Rand Paul is seen as an "isolationist" for his foreign policy views, drug views and other libertarian views. As for JEB, the entire primary is "Guy not JEB". The donors support JEB, but the voters support everyone else. JEB said himself that he has to be willing to lose the primary in order to win the presidency, referencing the lack of support. To be fair, his name doesn't help, but his view on common core and immigration dug that knife in further.


And? What is your point? All of these guys are popular conservative figures. You're cherry picking who is in "power" on the right to suit your narrative. Is it the voters? CPAC? Donors? Who? I'm just not seeing the pattern you're trying to make at all.

Remember that your starting claim was that labeling of conservatives as RINOs was equivalent to labeling of blacks at Uncle Toms. Somehow you've arrived at this bizarre idea that conservatives (the definition of which changes from case to case) "shun" Republican leaders who do things that appeal to minorities. But your evidence in support of this is incredibly spotty. You lurch from issue to issue with different candidates, but there's no pattern there. Some of those may appeal to some voters, but not to others, and there's no real correlation between "minorities" much less "black voters".

You're simultaneously arguing about disagreements with such candidates over common core and dream act in one case, and libertarian positions in another, and then trying to claim that they are both being "shunned" for the same reason? That's nuts? Those are on opposite sides of the scale. The only thing we can glean from any of this is that conservatives are not all in agreement over everything (which is a good thing), and that we're fine with expressing our disagreements and openly discussing them. I'm not sure how that's "bad".


Quote:
Gbaji wrote:

Also, this still is nothing like blacks being labeled Uncle Toms. That's an entirely different thing.
I've already made the connection, you chose not to reply. It also became apparent that you don't know what an Uncle Tom is.


Uh... The connection only exists in your own mind. I know exactly what an Uncle Tom is, and how the term is used to pressure blacks into complying with a very strict set of social positions. The fact that you seem to want to deny this is amazing to me. All your examples show is that conservatives will criticize their own leaders for a wide assortment of reasons, depending on the varying positions of various conservative viewpoints. On the Left? Especially when it comes to blacks? Not much room for variation allowed at all. They're just not comparable conditions.

Edited, Apr 29th 2015 8:21pm by gbaji
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#757 Apr 29 2015 at 9:47 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Does welfare create and/or perpetuate poverty among the poor? My argument is that it does, and that blacks are disproportionately poor today because they were disproportionately poor at the time we introduced many of our welfare programs.

Nope. Middle class blacks are more likely to end up poor than middle class whiteys.


Which doesn't counter what I said at all. Nice try though.

Oh. And the image you provided isn't in that paper, so I can't see the context to respond. The paper you did link, however, mostly talks about adolescent test scores as a strong determinant of economic outcome. Oh, and some mention of the correlation between single motherhood and poverty in children. Which is interesting, but doesn't really touch on the question of welfare. Well, except the single motherhood angle, which has a pretty direct connection to welfare.

Were you just kinda hoping no one would actually read what you linked?


Quote:
There are exactly two possible explanations for this phenomenon. 1. Widespread racism. 2. A genetic correlation between skin color and lack of achievement.


Or 3. "Interesting" data collection and interpretation methodologies.

Or 4. Widespread social and political pressure to get blacks to comply with social programs that are harmful for them. Which I suppose could be your number 1 above, but it need not be racism that causes it. Could be a whole bunch of useful idiots who honestly do believe that socialism works, with blacks in the US being the unfortunate group that was first to be experimented on.

Quote:
Pick one. You can't claim that racism isn't a prevalent and difficult to overcome force in American life and also explain the lack of black achievement without requiring that black people "deserve" to fail because of some fundamental shortcoming. Either might be true. There is no magical rule that states that race can't correlate with being lazy or whatever. I think the evidence indicates that it's pretty obviously widespread racism, but you don't. So....


Recall that I brought up the racism angle. Difference is that I suppose that welfare itself is the product of a racist attempt to keep blacks poor that appears to have succeeded beyond any Jim Crow supporters wildest expectations. And yeah, I don't discount the possibility of other social and economic pressures present in society that may impact the outcomes of even the children of middle class blacks. I just happen to think that these things are more likely the result and intent of liberal political actions and not conservative. The political value of creating an underclass who believe they have no choice but to vote for the liberal party is pretty great.

When your entire political platform rests on people voting for you because of a host of social ills that must be addressed with government authority, all you accomplish by actually solving those ills is lose political power. You only keep power if people still view themselves as poor, downtrodden, victims of racism, etc. It's why the Left instantly goes to identity politics and the plight people would be in without their social programs to help them whenever the GOP gains some political ground. Good times are a threat to the Left. Not hard to grasp that they'd have a vested interest in making sure that times stay at least "Kinda bad" as much as possible. Drag out that recession as long as possible, right? Introduce legislation that increases the likelihood of some new economic problem down the line. Just keep doing that, knowing that as long as people are suffering, they'll keep voting Democrat.

That's got to be a crappy way to look at society, but that does seem to be how the left operates. Maybe at one time they were full of wide eyed optimism for all the ways their ideology could help make a better world. But IMO, at least here in the US, that optimism died in the 70s. Since then, it's been entirely about holding onto power by playing on people's fears. And yeah, I happen to think that blacks have borne the brunt of that. They *should* be doing much better today than they are. And there's nothing the GOP is doing that is preventing them from achieving that success. We don't target things based on people's race. The Dems do. Why is it so hard to even contemplate that maybe the Democrats policies aren't so harmless as they try to claim?
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#758 Apr 29 2015 at 9:56 PM Rating: Decent
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I guess the question I'd ask of you guys is: "Who benefits from blacks being disproportionately poor?".

On the one hand you have the Democrats, who directly benefit in the form of political support. So you just have to assume that they might create polices designed to help them gain political power and will continue to do so as long as it keeps working. You know, just like they did back when Jim Crow and segregation helped them politically in the south.

On the other hand, you have the GOP, who don't benefit at all (and are actually harmed due to the identity based political methodology of the Dems). So you'd have to assume that they are so racist and so "bond villain with a monocle and persian cat" evil, that they'll willingly cost themselves political power just to make black people suffer.

One of these scenarios makes sense. The other doesn't.


Oh. This assumes we're talking about deliberate causes. We can also assume that both sides are just doing what they believe is correct for ideological reasons. Which just leaves us with the Dem's experiment in social welfare being a complete and utter disaster, the bulk of the harm falling on the backs of African Americans. As Smash would say: Pick one. if it's deliberate, then it makes the most sense for it to have been deliberately caused by the Democrats. If it's just an unintended side effect of social policies, then again, it's the Democrats that have driven domestic social policy for most of the last 50 years. That's just if we start with the Johnson administration. It's even longer if we go back to FDR.

Let's not forget that the Democrats controlled both houses in Congress for 40 years straight (well, 40 in the House, 37 out of those 40 in the Senate). From 1955 to 1995 they basically ran the legislative agenda. It's only a relatively recent thing to have the GOP even competitive in congress, let alone have some influence over the direction of our agenda (which explains the ramp up in howling from the Left over the last 20 years). There hasn't yet been enough time to see what effect more conservative policies may have on racial inequality, but given that the track record under the Dems has been so horrible, I'd think more people on the bottom end of the economic spectrum might be more willing to give the GOP a try.

This is part of why I'm so mystified by the vitriol some groups throw towards the GOP. We weren't the ones running things when all the bad stuff you're upset about happened. We barely had a voice. It's just bizarre that so many people are so angry about the state of things, but seem so ignorant of who is the most responsible for it. And then, like icing on the cake, they run back to support the party that is arguably most responsible while lashing out at the one least so. If you're upset at the lack of upward mobility for blacks over the last 50 years, maybe you should look at the party most responsible for social policy during that period.

Just a thought.

Edited, Apr 29th 2015 9:08pm by gbaji
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#759 Apr 29 2015 at 10:16 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:

That's got to be a crappy way to look at society, but that does seem to be how the left operates. Maybe at one time they were full of wide eyed optimism for all the ways their ideology could help make a better world. But IMO, at least here in the US, that optimism died in the 70s. Since then, it's been entirely about holding onto power by playing on people's fears.


By the left, I assume, you mean the entire political stage?
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#760 Apr 30 2015 at 8:03 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
There hasn't yet been enough time to see what effect more conservative policies may have on racial inequality,
Why not? According to you on numerous occasions far less time has been adequate to see the effects of a black president's policies.
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#761 Apr 30 2015 at 8:20 AM Rating: Excellent
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Well, we saw the recession from Reagan's trickle-down policies and Bush's economic collapse so I guess conservative policies do lessen racial inequality -- by making everyone below the upper class poor.
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#762 Apr 30 2015 at 8:25 AM Rating: Good
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The Conservative Strategyâ„¢.
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#763 Apr 30 2015 at 8:26 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Since then, it's been entirely about holding onto power by playing on people's fears.

Meanwhile, the Texas governor orders a volunteer militia to watch US military training exercises because it might actually be a federal military occupation of Texas...
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#764 Apr 30 2015 at 8:43 AM Rating: Good
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Great use of tax dollars, paying the military to watch the military in case the military takes over. Smiley: dubious

Edit: Apparently Wal-Mart is involved as part of the cover up. Pastebin because clickbait doesn't deserve direct links.

Edited, Apr 30th 2015 10:57am by lolgaxe
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#765 Apr 30 2015 at 10:00 AM Rating: Excellent
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Yeah,those five Wal-Marts had mysterious plumbing problems right after employees looked in to organizing for better wages. I'm positive it's all about secret tunnels and U.S. military takeovers of... U.S. states. For some reason.
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#766 Apr 30 2015 at 10:29 AM Rating: Good
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**** I love Texas. You couldn't make up better stories. Smiley: lol
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#767 Apr 30 2015 at 10:52 AM Rating: Excellent
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I have to give this guy credit for being environment-friendly and using a whiteboard for his Smiley: tinfoilhat lunatic protest signs.
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#768 Apr 30 2015 at 11:17 AM Rating: Excellent
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Well, he has what looks like a cardboard sign in his mouth, as well. Or the oddest beard I've ever seen.
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#769 Apr 30 2015 at 11:28 AM Rating: Excellent
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I figured the sign belonged to the curiously well dressed fellow in front of him and Mr. Sign-Mouth was just giving him an assist in keeping it up.
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#770 Apr 30 2015 at 11:32 AM Rating: Excellent
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So to speak.
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#771 Apr 30 2015 at 11:35 AM Rating: Good
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I guess the idea of a large body of people injecting money into their businesses, and training the very military they fall over themselves praising didn't actually occur to these people.
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#772 Apr 30 2015 at 11:58 AM Rating: Excellent
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Oh, they'd be fine with it if the Commander in Chief were a Republican. But these yahoos have been waiting eight long years for Obama to come after their guns, or their grannies, or both, and they are not going to miss their chance to be persecuted at long last.

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#773 Apr 30 2015 at 12:39 PM Rating: Good
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**** I love Texas. You couldn't make up better stories. Smiley: lol


Wait till we show you Florida.
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#774 Apr 30 2015 at 12:48 PM Rating: Good
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I guess the question I'd ask of you guys is: "Who benefits from blacks being disproportionately poor?".

Very rich white people. Almost exclusively. The GOP, more generally. It's not rocket science, the entire premise of the modern 'conservative' movement is convincing poor people that even poorer people are going to take their things. That's really it. If you can add ways the poorer people are different, that's a bonus. Meanwhile, you grind the middle class into the dirt and squeeze them for all you can take. The best part is that because GOP voters are terrified cowards, it's trivial to frighten them with nearly anything. Sharia law is coming to Denver! Mexicans are terking yer jerbs! Obama is gonna take your guns! Negroes want to think they have it as good as you, they're coming for your double wide and your franklin mint plates! Gays are going to turn your son into a cocksucker. Etc. Entrenching poor blacks as a permanent underclass provides an easy identity wedge, and the GOP goes to that well pretty much every election. Willie Horton, Welfare Queens driving Cadillacs, Black Panthers intimidating voters, Obama Phone, "you don't say 'nigger nigger nigger', you say 'urban' or 'inner city' or 'food stamps' " Etc.

About the worst thing I can possibly think of happening to the modern GOP is black people becoming a solid part of the middle class. Don't worry, though, the constant push for institutional racism still works great.
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#775 Apr 30 2015 at 1:24 PM Rating: Good
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Timelordwho wrote:
Uglysasquatch wrote:
**** I love Texas. You couldn't make up better stories. Smiley: lol


Wait till we show you Florida.
I'm getting that one firsthand next week.


I think I saw the female version of Sheldon next to the whiteboard sign.
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#776 Apr 30 2015 at 1:27 PM Rating: Good
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You're going to Florida next week?

Look out for the bath salt zombies.

Which seems to also be the premise of a 2013 direct to video low budget horror flick. I know what I'm looking for tomorrow ...

Edited, Apr 30th 2015 3:31pm by lolgaxe
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