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#102 Aug 07 2014 at 7:04 PM Rating: Excellent
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You know what else has a 100% fatality rate?

Life!

Smiley: schooled
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#103 Aug 08 2014 at 5:49 AM Rating: Good
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Professor stupidmonkey wrote:
You know what else has a 100% fatality rate?

Life!

Smiley: schooled

That's what we're led to believe.



Edited, Aug 8th 2014 1:50pm by Elinda
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#104 Aug 08 2014 at 7:01 AM Rating: Excellent
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Professor stupidmonkey wrote:
You know what else has a 100% fatality rate?

Life!

Smiley: schooled

Has anyone shared the Word of our Lord Jesus Christ with you today?
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#105 Aug 08 2014 at 7:19 AM Rating: Good
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And pregnancy is a sexually transmitted disease.
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#106 Aug 08 2014 at 7:20 AM Rating: Good
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Sex kills.






Edited, Aug 8th 2014 3:21pm by Elinda
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#107 Aug 08 2014 at 9:27 AM Rating: Excellent
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It's a small price to pay.
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#108 Aug 08 2014 at 1:09 PM Rating: Good
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someproteinguy wrote:
It's a small price to pay.
Yeppers.





Edited, Aug 8th 2014 9:33pm by Elinda
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#109 Aug 08 2014 at 1:20 PM Rating: Good
Samira wrote:
Huh, we're still allowed to say "sucks". For now.


Don't rock the boat, Samira, we might get our snack privileges revoked.
#110 Aug 08 2014 at 1:26 PM Rating: Excellent
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Elinda wrote:
someproteinguy wrote:
It's a small price to pay.
Yeppers.
Silly Mantis, you should never sell yourself for that little. At least be one of those spiders that gets to do it twice before they go. Smiley: oyvey
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#111 Aug 08 2014 at 2:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Samira wrote:
I don't know if the strains are all that different, or if the numbers reflect the stage and degree of intervention.


The strains are that different. Assuming the current outbreak is of the Zaire variety (the most dangerous), then this is actually a case of the conservative media being more accurate (ie: not downplaying the danger by including stats for other varieties).
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#112 Aug 08 2014 at 2:09 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Assuming the current outbreak is of the Zaire variety (the most dangerous), then this is actually a case of the conservative media being more accurate (ie: not downplaying the danger by including stats for other varieties).
The Weapons of Mass Destruction method.
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#113 Aug 08 2014 at 3:34 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Assuming the current outbreak is of the Zaire variety (the most dangerous), then this is actually a case of the conservative media being more accurate (ie: not downplaying the danger by including stats for other varieties).
The Weapons of Mass Destruction method.


If that's obscure code for "correctly identifying the fatality rate for the strain of the virus in question", then yes.
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#114 Aug 08 2014 at 3:55 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
If that's obscure
I hope you're taking steps to reduce the debilitating affects of your Alzheimer's. Smiley: frown

Edited, Aug 8th 2014 5:57pm by lolgaxe
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#115 Aug 09 2014 at 1:59 PM Rating: Decent
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The strains are that different.

Gbaji **** in a stall near an epidemiologist, so he's an expert now.
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#116 Aug 09 2014 at 2:55 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:
The strains are that different.

Gbaji **** in a stall near an epidemiologist, so he's an expert now.

Now now, he pretty much got the Wikipedia info correct.
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#117 Aug 11 2014 at 9:47 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Samira wrote:
I don't know if the strains are all that different, or if the numbers reflect the stage and degree of intervention.


The strains are that different. Assuming the current outbreak is of the Zaire variety (the most dangerous), then this is actually a case of the conservative media being more accurate (ie: not downplaying the danger by including stats for other varieties).
Why not say 45%-90%? Since that's the range of fatality for the Zaire strain outbreaks?

If anyone else did miss it, it is a Zaire strain, but appears to be unique and not directly descended from the other outbreaks.
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#118 Aug 11 2014 at 10:09 AM Rating: Excellent
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someproteinguy wrote:
Why not say 45%-90%? Since that's the range of fatality for the Zaire strain outbreaks?

This isn't about accuracy, this is about who's right and who's wrong.
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#119 Aug 12 2014 at 9:13 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
someproteinguy wrote:
Why not say 45%-90%? Since that's the range of fatality for the Zaire strain outbreaks?

This isn't about accuracy, this is about who's right and who's wrong.
It's almost like you'd think they have more to gain by being wrong than by being right.

Oh, right. Smiley: rolleyes
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#120 Aug 12 2014 at 8:02 PM Rating: Default
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someproteinguy wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Samira wrote:
I don't know if the strains are all that different, or if the numbers reflect the stage and degree of intervention.


The strains are that different. Assuming the current outbreak is of the Zaire variety (the most dangerous), then this is actually a case of the conservative media being more accurate (ie: not downplaying the danger by including stats for other varieties).
Why not say 45%-90%? Since that's the range of fatality for the Zaire strain outbreaks?


Um... because my newfound knowledge from staying at a Holiday Inn Express (AKA: Wiki entry) says that's not correct. While an assortment of strains have fatality rates ranging from around 50% to around 90%, the Zaire strain is the one with the "around 90%" fatality rate.

Quote:
If anyone else did miss it, it is a Zaire strain, but appears to be unique and not directly descended from the other outbreaks.


And the fatality rate of this strain is? Do we have a number yet?

I just don't think it's fair to criticize people for using the correct fatality rate most associated with the strain in question. If it turns out that this particular Zaire strain has a lower fatality rate, then by all means we can correct that. But it's not wrong to start with the existing number until we actually have information to prove otherwise. And it's certainly questionable to slam people for using that number and to suggest they're exaggerating the risks. It comes off more like you're attempting to downplay the risks and/or just find some way to politicize this in an "us versus them" way. Why on earth should concern about bringing infected ebola patients to the US be turned into a partisan political issue? Isn't that kind of ridiculous? It almost seems to me like there are some people who will take whatever conservatives say and disagree with it, not because it's wrong, but because the people saying it are conservatives and the political value of making them look wrong/stupid/whatever is more important than actually being correct.

We're talking about a pretty nasty outbreak going on here. Can we actually just look at the facts of what's going on and not turn this into a political thing?

Edited, Aug 12th 2014 7:03pm by gbaji
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#121 Aug 12 2014 at 8:24 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
Um... because my newfound knowledge from staying at a Holiday Inn Express (AKA: Wiki entry) says that's not correct.
Wikipedia puts the current outbreak at roughly 64%.
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#122 Aug 12 2014 at 8:32 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Um... because my newfound knowledge from staying at a Holiday Inn Express (AKA: Wiki entry) says that's not correct.
Wikipedia puts the current outbreak at roughly 64%.
But what does Palin-TV put it at? That's the only news source that really counts.
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#123 Aug 12 2014 at 9:00 PM Rating: Good
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I don't know, which Holiday Inn Express are they filming from?
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#124 Aug 12 2014 at 9:02 PM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
I don't know, which Holiday Inn Express are they filming from?
I don't know, they won't tell you unless you are a paying member.
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#125 Aug 13 2014 at 9:14 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Um... because my newfound knowledge from staying at a Holiday Inn Express (AKA: Wiki entry) says that's not correct. While an assortment of strains have fatality rates ranging from around 50% to around 90%, the Zaire strain is the one with the "around 90%" fatality rate.
Since we like wiki so much, everything on this list that has a species listed as "EBOV" is a Zaire ebolavirus outbreak. The one in DR Congo from 2008-2009 had a 45% mortality rate.

gbaji wrote:
And the fatality rate of this strain is? Do we have a number yet?
1013/1848 or 54.8% since December of last year, you can find it on the same page, or here. There's other similar number out there on different sites. So, say, if you only trust conservative media you can get those numbers here. They're a couple days old, but tell the same story.


gbaji wrote:
We're talking about a pretty nasty outbreak going on here. Can we actually just look at the facts of what's going on and not turn this into a political thing?
It's not, I'm fairly universally against fear-mongering. Remember me not liking the climate change alarmists? Same **** different day.


Edited, Aug 13th 2014 8:17am by someproteinguy
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#126 Aug 13 2014 at 3:42 PM Rating: Default
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someproteinguy wrote:
gbaji wrote:
Um... because my newfound knowledge from staying at a Holiday Inn Express (AKA: Wiki entry) says that's not correct. While an assortment of strains have fatality rates ranging from around 50% to around 90%, the Zaire strain is the one with the "around 90%" fatality rate.
Since we like wiki so much, everything on this list that has a species listed as "EBOV" is a Zaire ebolavirus outbreak. The one in DR Congo from 2008-2009 had a 45% mortality rate.


And the one in Congo had a 90%, and Zaire had 88%, and Congo again had 83%. Point being that of those with listed fatality rate, the top 7 are all of the Zaire variety. The one Zaire strain outbreak with a 45% fatality rate is a clear outlier.

Quote:
gbaji wrote:
We're talking about a pretty nasty outbreak going on here. Can we actually just look at the facts of what's going on and not turn this into a political thing?
It's not, I'm fairly universally against fear-mongering. Remember me not liking the climate change alarmists? Same **** different day.


Except that there is actually an outbreak going on, and it is actually the worst outbreak of ebola we've yet seen. So I'm not sure how healthy caution isn't called for here. The worst that happens if we exaggerate the fatality rate (and to be honest, does it really matter from a public health perspective whether the rate is 65% or 90%?) is that people take the disease more seriously. How the hell is that not exactly what is needed? I just think that focusing on the accuracy of a number while ignoring the bigger picture seems silly.

The issue was about the wisdom of transporting infected patients into the US for treatment. Whether the fatality rate is 45% or 65% or 85% doesn't really make a difference with regard to that question. It's more a matter of increasing the odds that an outbreak may happen in the US. Given that this particular outbreak seems to have infected a large number of health care workers (who you'd think would be taking precautions against exactly this), I suspect the bigger question is about infection rates, not fatality rates. While it's obviously too early to say for sure, it does seem as though overconfidence by medical professionals regarding the spread of this outbreak has been part of the problem. The bigger point here being that it is too early to say for sure if this strain has some increased ability to spread and that's why it's spread so far. And while I have a great deal of confidence in the folks at the CDC, this is absolutely not the time and place for complacency.


I just think that blasting people who raise concerns about this because their fatality rate numbers may not be completely accurate is totally missing the point. It's like you're looking for a reason to discredit *them*, and not really looking at or responding to the concerns they're raising. And that seems like a totally moronic way to do things.
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