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#277 Nov 05 2012 at 6:07 AM Rating: Decent
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Not like anyone cares, but I'll clarify my point on polling. There isn't anything inherently wrong with polling or sampling. My beef is more with how they are conducted and how they are used to justify points. I differentiate sampling a small population to determine the average height of adult males vs who will win the general election. While both might represent what they seek, there are no variables to change the former in a short amount of time.
#278 Nov 05 2012 at 6:38 AM Rating: Good
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The problem is that these days they HAVE to adjust the polls, because so few people maintain land lines any more. The majority of the land line owners are going to be middle aged and suburban.

Not everyone who votes is middle aged and suburban!
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#279 Nov 05 2012 at 7:42 AM Rating: Excellent
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Pulse Opinion Research has a poll out today showing +2 Obama in Ohio.

Pulse Opinion Research is a division of Rasmussen polling.
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#280 Nov 05 2012 at 7:49 AM Rating: Good
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I'm excited for the race tomorrow. Our US Senate race looks like it should be a runaway with Angus King (I) up 16pts over our current Sec. of State Charlie Summers (R) - 49% vs 33% respectively. The democrat nominee is barely holding on with only 11% of the vote. Angus is my pick, but still, there is that little twinge of apprehension that things don't go as planned.

The numbers have changed little since the early days of the election when the US Chamber of Commerce did a media blitz attacking King. They spent meellions of dollars and initially had some success in moving the polling numbers, but then their returns diminished ...significantly.

Reportedly Sandy helped Obama in the polls but now there is the simple matter of logistics - will people in the storm affected areas be able to conveniently get to the polls?

Who's gonna stay up Tuesday night with me watching the numbers roll in?
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#281 Nov 05 2012 at 7:53 AM Rating: Excellent
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lulz
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#282 Nov 05 2012 at 8:05 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Smash is losing weight - he looks like a stick guy.
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#283 Nov 05 2012 at 8:13 AM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
Who's gonna stay up Tuesday night with me watching the numbers roll in?
The armory is having a half day, but beyond that I'm voting and not bothering until I read the morning paper.
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#284 Nov 05 2012 at 8:18 AM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Elinda wrote:
Who's gonna stay up Tuesday night with me watching the numbers roll in?
The armory is having a half day, but beyond that I'm voting and not bothering until I read the morning paper.

I bet you can't do it. You'll peek.
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#285 Nov 05 2012 at 8:20 AM Rating: Excellent
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I'll leave my tablet set on Politico's front page with the scrolling state updates. Hopefully, VA and OH will be called early and it'll be a quick night.

Also (unrelated):
Senator Lindsey Graham wrote:
If I hear anybody say it was because Romney wasn't conservative enough I'm going to go nuts. We're not losing 95% of African-Americans and two-thirds of Hispanics and voters under 30 because we're not being hard-*** enough.


Edited, Nov 5th 2012 8:21am by Jophiel
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#286 Nov 05 2012 at 8:23 AM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:


Who's gonna stay up Tuesday night with me watching the numbers roll in?


Looks like Jonwin and I will be going to a post election party at Center Stage Theater, with TV coverage of results and Beer. Smiley: chug
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#287 Nov 05 2012 at 8:31 AM Rating: Excellent
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The president tried to bribe me to canvas in WI with the reward of tickets to tomorrow's Chicago party but, alas, the demands of a two-year old outweigh the demands of the Commander-in-Chief.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#288 Nov 05 2012 at 8:44 AM Rating: Good
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I find it hard to believe that mini Fleajoph is already 2 years old. I demand pictures.
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In the place of a Dark Lord you would have a Queen! Not dark but beautiful and terrible as the Morn! Treacherous as the Seas! Stronger than the foundations of the Earth! All shall love me and despair! -ElneClare

This Post is written in Elnese, If it was an actual Post, it would make sense.
#289 Nov 05 2012 at 8:46 AM Rating: Decent
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Oh shit, I have to vote tomorrow. Glad you guys are here to remind me of such things.
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#290 Nov 05 2012 at 8:47 AM Rating: Decent
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ElneClare wrote:
I find it hard to believe that mini Fleajoph is already 2 years old. I demand pictures.

Yeah, I was thinking the same thing, or more like, WTF did Joph get a two year old?
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publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
#291 Nov 05 2012 at 8:51 AM Rating: Excellent
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Liberals steal babies and make them work during Shabbos.
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#292 Nov 05 2012 at 8:53 AM Rating: Excellent
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lolgaxe wrote:
Liberals steal babies

Well, we abort all of ours and then steal conservative babies and train them in our liberal arts. Like gypsies!
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#293 Nov 05 2012 at 8:57 AM Rating: Decent
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I'm excited for the race tomorrow. Our US Senate race looks like it should be a runaway with Angus King (I) up 16pts over our current Sec. of State Charlie Summers (R) - 49% vs 33% respectively. The democrat nomine


Is a joke. When Pingree and Michaud decided not to run, you're going pretty deep into the barrel, pardon me, the lobster trap, to find a candidate. Question 1 is the reason to vote in Maine this election. Obama easily wins both districts, King wins, Pingree and Michaud are effectively running unopposed given how weak the GOP candidates are. Although given the ****** roads I have to drive on bringing mini Smash to visit his Maine relatives, question 4 is somewhat important to me, too.


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#294 Nov 05 2012 at 9:07 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
lolgaxe wrote:
Liberals steal babies

Well, we abort all of ours and then steal conservative babies and train them in our liberal arts. Like gypsies!
Alternately, we're all gays and lesbians so we can't make our own babies.

It's not stealing though - it's redistribution.
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#295 Nov 05 2012 at 9:11 AM Rating: Excellent
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Elinda wrote:
It's not stealing though - it's redistribution

Smiley: laugh Smiley: thumbsup
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#296 Nov 05 2012 at 9:22 AM Rating: Decent
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I'll actually be voting in a race that means anything for the first time in a while. Hannah will be coming with me to vote for the first time, she's very excited.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? ***. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#297 Nov 05 2012 at 9:46 AM Rating: Excellent
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Smasharoo wrote:
Hannah will be coming with me to vote for the first time, she's very excited.

Did you move to Chicago?
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#298 Nov 05 2012 at 10:44 AM Rating: Decent
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Did you move to Chicago?


Where do you think the Chicago Irish learned to vote the graveyard? No one got off the boat from Dublin in Evanston, boyo.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? ***. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#299 Nov 05 2012 at 10:59 AM Rating: Excellent
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My Congressional and state races are actually competitive this year so I have a reason to vote beyond waving a "We're #1" flag for Obama. While it's a wispy shadow of the real swing states, I'll be glad to not see another Duckworth, Walsh, Foster, Biggart or Manley commercial for a couple years.
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#300 Nov 05 2012 at 11:53 AM Rating: Decent
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My Congressional and state races are actually competitive this year so I have a reason to vote beyond waving a "We're #1" flag for Obama. While it's a wispy shadow of the real swing states, I'll be glad to not see another Duckworth, Walsh, Foster, Biggart or Manley commercial for a couple years.


We don't have TV, so I miss most of the Warren/Brown ads, but I do hear the compelling Brown argument of "She pretended she was an indian!" on the radio about every 14 seconds. She was a terrible, terrible candidate to start, but she's been coached up pretty effectively. When she wins, she should have a pretty easy re-election in 6 years.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? ***. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#301 Nov 05 2012 at 12:23 PM Rating: Good
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Smasharoo wrote:
We don't have TV, so I miss most of the Warren/Brown ads, but I do hear the compelling Brown argument of "She pretended she was an indian!" on the radio about every 14 seconds.
Even on Rhode Island radio stations, I probably hear this ad more than any for RI politicians.
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