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#227 Dec 31 2011 at 1:30 PM Rating: Excellent
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
Smasharoo wrote:

Romney would have a shot, but he's really got a long way to go to get the nomination.


Interesting point. The opposite is true, of course, and obvious from even a cursory examination of the simple mathematical process hurdles faced by any other candidate, but you ignored that and just made a wild ficking guess. God bless you, without snuggie buying payday loan procuring swinging ***** like you this country would be nothing.
Oh, hey, let's reply to an 8 day old post. I'm sure that the political climate when I posted something and when you replied were exactly the same. Go have another freak out in Disneyworld.


To be honest, it's been painfully obvious that Romney's going to win for a very long time. It's hard to keep a straight face as each new joke candidate is thrown up onto the stage only to be pulled off moments later and replaced with another when the laughter gets too much. It's like a quiz show called 'Anyone But Mitt Romney, @#%^.', and no-one knows any of the answers.

Not even the location of Ubekibekistan.

Edited, Dec 31st 2011 7:30pm by Kavekk
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#228 Dec 31 2011 at 3:52 PM Rating: Excellent
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While Romney appeals to a lot of the saner and more moderate masses of the GOP including "the Establishment" he's a non starter for the evangelicals. Wrong brand of Christianity and all.

They're still desperate for Bachmann to suddenly become sane or Santorum to magically become not a euphemism-for-***-***-byproducts but the odds of either happening in the next few days are pretty much nil.
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#229 Dec 31 2011 at 5:10 PM Rating: Decent
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if i was an American citizen for one, and a republican for two, Id be voting for Ron Paul. You may ask why, so here is my answer.

Obama is not going to lose the 2012 election, the Pubs just do not have a candidate that can compare. Obama will roast anyone in a Debate, and he has the ammo to do so. He pretty much had the standard first term, let the house/senate call the shots then throw them under the bus for term 2. Considering no real rival (to be honest Ron Paul is probably the best opportunity the GOP has but I digress) in the election, Obama can coast in on "we need more Bipartisan effort, I tried here is my record, the house and the senate are to blame...."

Obama will be president again, simply because the GOP does not have a candidate, there is one most people dislike and want to support someone else (Rommney) There is one people like but think he is a Nutter (Paul) and then there is the flavor of the week, sh*t at this rate Gbaji could put his name into the hat and mid march might be number 1 in GOP polling.


(that and I think the Fed needs to be scrutinized, they have been very closed book and iirc have never had a formal audit. I am not buying into conspiracy theory but its odd they haven't been audited no?.)

Edited, Dec 31st 2011 6:12pm by rdmcandie
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#230 Dec 31 2011 at 5:14 PM Rating: Excellent
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catwho wrote:
While Romney appeals to a lot of the saner and more moderate masses of the GOP including "the Establishment" he's a non starter for the evangelicals.

People overestimate the effect of the Mormon thing. At most, it might slightly depress turnout among one group of voters but it won't be significant.
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#231 Dec 31 2011 at 5:44 PM Rating: Good
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
Oh, hey, let's reply to an 8 day old post. I'm sure that the political climate when I posted something and when you replied were exactly the same. Go have another freak out in Disneyworld.

Don't get your knickers in a twist, it was completely wrong when you originally posted it, too.
#232 Dec 31 2011 at 5:51 PM Rating: Good
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
Oh, hey, let's reply to an 8 day old post. I'm sure that the political climate when I posted something and when you replied were exactly the same. Go have another freak out in Disneyworld.

Don't get your knickers in a twist, it was completely wrong when you originally posted it, too.
When Newt was leading in all the polls? If nothing else, it was somewhat wrong and not completely wrong.
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Edited, Mar 21st 2011 2:14pm by Darqflame Lock Thread: Because Lubriderm is silly... ~ de geso

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#233 Dec 31 2011 at 5:58 PM Rating: Good
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After 3 or 4 other people had the exact same lead before crashing and burning? And when everyone was at least tacitly admitting that Newt had too much baggage to even have a shot at the primary?
#234 Jan 01 2012 at 2:15 AM Rating: Good
3 or 4 other people had an ascendency which lead to a crash and burn precisely because there is an anyone but Mitt faction in the Republican Party. You truly can't see why I said what I said, back then?
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Edited, Mar 21st 2011 2:14pm by Darqflame Lock Thread: Because Lubriderm is silly... ~ de geso

Almalieque wrote:
I know what a glory hole is, but I wasn't sure what the business part was in reference to.

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#235 Jan 01 2012 at 8:42 AM Rating: Excellent
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Kavekk wrote:
To be honest, it's been painfully obvious that Romney's going to win for a very long time. It's hard to keep a straight face as each new joke candidate is thrown up onto the stage only to be pulled off moments later and replaced with another when the laughter gets too much. It's like a quiz show called 'Anyone But Mitt Romney, @#%^.', and no-one knows any of the answers.

That's just a side show on the larger GOP program, "Anyone But Obama".
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#236 Jan 01 2012 at 11:07 AM Rating: Decent
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
3 or 4 other people had an ascendency which lead to a crash and burn precisely because there is an anyone but Mitt faction in the Republican Party. You truly can't see why I said what I said, back then?

First, not that much has happened politically in the last week, so it's not like we're talking about a completely different climate or anything here.

Second, no, I really do not understand how you held that point of view, and I didn't when I first read it, either.

And last, I only really chimed in because I thought it was funny how butthurt you were getting over Smash, of all people.
#237 Jan 03 2012 at 11:17 PM Rating: Good
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Man, these Iowa Caucuses alerts on my phone are killing me...

Especially since they're not mentioning Ron Paul anymoreSmiley: mad

Edited, Jan 4th 2012 12:17am by Kelvyquayo
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#238 Jan 04 2012 at 6:36 AM Rating: Excellent
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3 or 4 other people had an ascendency which lead to a crash and burn precisely because there is an anyone but Mitt faction in the Republican Party. You truly can't see why I said what I said, back then?


Oh Hai!

It's me, Smasharoo from December 11, 2011.


Romney has to do far more than demonstrate that he's unlike the average voter to lose this. It's more fun to watch if there's some sort of horse-race element, but there isn't. No one else has any chance in **** in the general election, the GOP is nothing if not easily compliant, it's the entire philosophy that allows them to be a viable party. GOP voters simply do what they're told. They'll be told to vote for Romney, and they will. There's literally never been a GOP candidate in my lifetime who wasn't the establishment choice. It's the "wait until it's your turn" party.

The Democratic primary can be interesting. Democrats weakness is they aren't as easily lead and can come up with a Dukakis or a Mondale or an Obamma once in a while. The GOP primary is just boring. You nearly allays know the winner by December of the year before the election.


Wow! Look at that, 6 days before your random douchebaggery took place. I guess the only explanation is that it was obvious that Romney would be the nominee 6 days before you posted AND 8 days after, but for that brief shining moment in time, he was in real trouble.

Or, fuckstick, you lazily repeated a media narrative because you're a child. One of those definitely happened.
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#239 Jan 04 2012 at 9:20 AM Rating: Good
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Who is Smash arguing with?
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#240 Jan 04 2012 at 9:25 AM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
Who is Smash arguing with?


Lubriderm.
#241 Jan 04 2012 at 9:27 AM Rating: Good
Ehhh the second quote of his wasn't mine. So not just me.
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Edited, Mar 21st 2011 2:14pm by Darqflame Lock Thread: Because Lubriderm is silly... ~ de geso

Almalieque wrote:
I know what a glory hole is, but I wasn't sure what the business part was in reference to.

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#242 Jan 04 2012 at 9:32 AM Rating: Excellent
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
Ehhh the second quote of his wasn't mine. So not just me.


You're under the mistaken impression that Smash needs you to have written something to argue with you over it, eh?

Smiley: tongue
#243 Jan 04 2012 at 9:36 AM Rating: Excellent
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Jophiel wrote:
catwho wrote:
While Romney appeals to a lot of the saner and more moderate masses of the GOP including "the Establishment" he's a non starter for the evangelicals.

People overestimate the effect of the Mormon thing. At most, it might slightly depress turnout among one group of voters but it won't be significant.

Exiting polling information was interesting though. According to (lulz) CNN, 6 in 10 of the voters were Evangelicals, and a plurality voted for Santorum (he also was most popular in those considering themselves "very conservative" or part of the Tea Party). So it seems like while the religion thing wasn't a huge detriment, there was also definitely a decision on the part of Evangelicals to choose Santorum over Romney. Romney was most popular among people who felt that having business experience or the ability to defeat Obama were most important. Paul was overwhelmingly popular among young voter and first-time caucus goers.

The article summarizes by saying:
Quote:
In sum, Romney won the pragmatic establishment while Santorum won the GOP's most conservative core and Paul dominated the outsiders.

I'd argue they should have said "Paul dominated among the younger voters," not necessarily the outsiders, but that pretty much sums it up.

Edited, Jan 4th 2012 10:38am by LockeColeMA
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#244 Jan 04 2012 at 9:37 AM Rating: Good
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Duke Lubriderm wrote:
Ehhh the second quote of his wasn't mine. So not just me.
That was him, quoting himself, showing you what he had said earlier, before you posted the comment he's attacking, if my Smash translation is working.


Edited, Jan 4th 2012 11:37am by Uglysasquatch
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#245 Jan 04 2012 at 9:40 AM Rating: Excellent
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"Dominating the outsiders" is about as good a sign as "The chess club is behind you!" is for school elections.
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#246 Jan 04 2012 at 10:05 AM Rating: Excellent
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LockeColeMA wrote:
So it seems like while the religion thing wasn't a huge detriment, there was also definitely a decision on the part of Evangelicals to choose Santorum over Romney.

I assume that had more to do with the belief that Santorum was their No Abortion/No Gays candidate than a concern about Mormanism.

It'll be good theater to see Gingrich go all-out on Romney. He's pretty ****** about the Romney-allied PACs tearing him down in Iowa.
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#247 Jan 04 2012 at 12:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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lolgaxe wrote:
"Dominating the outsiders" is about as good a sign as "The chess club is behind you!" is for school elections.

Whereas "Getting young and first-time voters behind you" is what led Obama to win in 2008.
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#248 Jan 04 2012 at 12:29 PM Rating: Good
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There were way more factors to Obama's victory than getting young and first time voters. While obviously getting more voters is never a bad idea for a candidate, I simply don't hold much faith that it's that huge of a deal this early on.

Romney beats Santorum by 8 votes, each with 25% while Paul gets 21% and Gingrich 13%.
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#249 Jan 04 2012 at 12:34 PM Rating: Excellent
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Santorum also still has that huge Google problem.

I'm sure there's quite a few low information GOPers who heard Santorum tied with Romney, decided they probably better learn something about this Santorum dude, and got a nasty NSFW surprise when they searched Google and just randomly clicked the first few links.
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#250 Jan 04 2012 at 2:26 PM Rating: Good
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funny my coworker just mentioned that - he was like "what the **** is up with the results from googling Santorum" (cause he never caught the whole interchange with Dan Savage)

Gotta hand it to Savage, though - for really throwing a wrench into a bigot's chance to run for president
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#251 Jan 04 2012 at 2:34 PM Rating: Excellent
Well, apparently bachmann has pulled out.
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