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Ivan and now JeanneFollow

#1 Sep 14 2004 at 12:04 PM Rating: Good
I have NEVER seen a hurricane season like this. While Ivan is bearing down on Lousiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle, Tropical Storm Jeanne has now formed SE of Puerto Rico and is expected to be over that island tomorrow morning, then into the Bahamas by Friday - on a path to (you guessed it)...

FLORIDA!

It seems there's no relaxing this season...
#3 Sep 14 2004 at 12:59 PM Rating: Decent
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Well, since there is no such thing as global warming, I imagine it's just a fluke change in ocean temperature.
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#4 Sep 14 2004 at 1:18 PM Rating: Decent
Whether or not Global Warming exists isnt really the issue as I stated in the other post. The National Hurricane Center talked about this when the season started. It goes in cycles. They predicted this to be a very active season. (and not because of global warming)
#5 Sep 14 2004 at 1:21 PM Rating: Good
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Speaking of global warming, parts of canada had the second coldest summer on record.

But yeah global warming is out there, and its effecting global weather patterns.

P.S. Its God warning you not to mess up again and let Bush back into office. Your being smitten in advance since he is probably gonna get back in office.

Edited, Tue Sep 14 14:27:15 2004 by bhodisattva
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#6 Sep 14 2004 at 1:28 PM Rating: Decent
Argh! Another one? Make it stop! I'm tired of /panic-ing.

So far I have been lucky and had no damage done to my house. Hopefully this one will be like the rest..

Do you know what Category this next Hurricane is?
#7 Sep 14 2004 at 2:02 PM Rating: Good
Jeanne is not yet a hurricane - just a Tropical Storm.

Classroom time:
These are terms used to describe the progressive levels of organized disturbed weather in the tropics that are of less than hurricane status.

Tropical Disturbance A discrete tropical weather system of apparently organized convection - generally 200 to 600 km (100 to 300 nmi) in diameter - originating in the tropics or subtropics, having a nonfrontal migratory character, and maintaining its identity for 24 hours or more. It may or may not be associated with a detectable perturbation of the wind field. Disturbances associated with perturbations in the wind field and progressing through the tropics from east to west are also known as easterly waves .

Tropical Depression A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained wind speed (using the U.S. 1 minute average standard) is 33 kt (38 mph, 18 m/s) or less. Depressions have a closed circulation.

Tropical Storm A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed (using the U.S. 1 minute average standard) ranges from 34 kt (39 mph,19 m/s) to 63 kt (73 mph, 34 m/s). The convection in tropical storms is usually more concentrated near the center with outer rainfall organizing into distinct bands.

Hurricane When winds in a tropical cyclone equal or exceed 64 kt (74 mph, 35 m/s) it is called a hurricane (in the Atlantic and eastern and central Pacific Oceans). Hurricanes are further designated by categories on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricanes in categories 3, 4, 5 are known as Major Hurricanes or Intense Hurricanes.


Edited, Tue Sep 14 15:05:34 2004 by Mikeinsb
#8 Sep 14 2004 at 2:38 PM Rating: Decent
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223 posts
Gah i just took my shuters down and im not taking another 6hr drive to jacksonville like i did with that ivan fluke -_- when will it stop
#9 Sep 14 2004 at 7:21 PM Rating: Good
Latest forecast has Jeanne reaching hurricane strength over Puerto Rico, then turning to the north as it moves through the Bahamas - could be N. Carolina's problem and not Florida's this time...

However, NHC says forecast confidence is low. This is not a "warm and fuzzy" forecast.
#10 Sep 14 2004 at 8:06 PM Rating: Decent
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Do you really think more than 3/4 of the people on the Florida coast will evacuate?
#11 Sep 15 2004 at 10:54 AM Rating: Good
Soprino wrote:
Do you really think more than 3/4 of the people on the Florida coast will evacuate?

?? No - and they haven't been asked to. Folks are getting out of Mobile, Alabama like there's no tomorrow, though.
#12 Sep 15 2004 at 3:00 PM Rating: Decent
Good luck people. Blasted global warming.
#13 Sep 15 2004 at 11:22 PM Rating: Good
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169 posts
Lol, fluke change in ocean temperatures? Care to explain how that happens Mr. Scientist? Or are you speculating, guessing even?
#14 Sep 16 2004 at 2:13 PM Rating: Good
Mobile is VERY lucky - late last night Ivan took a little jog to the east and just missed inundating Mobile Bay with a 15+ foot storm surge. They still have plenty to contend with (as all the folks in Ala, Miss, Ga, and Tenn do), but it oculd have been MUCH worse but for that 10 mile jog.

NOW Florida turns its weary eyes to the SE and keeps a watch on Hurricane Jeanne.
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