@Raelix - true, so lets work it out using a non-scientific method based on pure conjecture, just like a politician :D
On the FFXI Forums 100,000 views have been had of the competitions forum post, if we say each person looked at the post twice we have 50,000 people who entered the NA competition. 10,000 views have been had on the EU post so we knock that down to 5,000 entries.
There are a total of 6251 prizes for NA players
There are a total of 626 prizes for EU players
50,000 / 6251 = 7.9 so the odds are around 8:1
5,000 / 626 = 7.9 so the odds are around 8:1
231 recent visitors to this thread means 28 of those people probably have won a prize so I'm figuring my guesstimate isn't too far off, maybe. At the moment I'm in the "ain't won a thing" category, and I really wanted to dress up like a Moogle too, meh.